Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01c1588c5c47e22caca498a730ae788f675f10f1ef6b14b1bd1db801bd3473a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked No | 53c | 1,895$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.71 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 1,179$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 380.75$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.55 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 63c | 369.49$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.06 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked No | 51c | 253.12$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.03 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 48c | 169.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.35 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Yes | 48c | 143.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 47c | 113.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 48c | 112.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.33 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 47c | 89.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 47c | 89.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 47c | 77.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 62c | 74.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 50c | 72.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 47c | 71.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Yes | 47c | 70.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 53c | 61.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked No | 47c | 54.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 50c | 49.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 52c | 45.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 65c | 40.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 52c | 37.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 30c | 33.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 47c | 33.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 40c | 32.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Yes | 36c | 31.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…5feebacked Yes | 48c | 30.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed No | 59c | 25.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 62c | 24.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Yes | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.