TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,952
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,952 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over68c4,248$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.843,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under35c3,638$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.594040%16 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over72c2,853$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.082,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.955133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under32c1,380$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.511,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under33c1,335$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.5420845.7%95 W · 113 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under31c1,171$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.5928755.1%158 W · 129 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over78c883.89$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.651,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over73c801.97$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.9714260.6%86 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under31c532$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9215747.1%74 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under19c425$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.75862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.37per pick26cpaid+154.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under29c402.24$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.527138.4%104 W · 167 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under25c306.42$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9328345.2%128 W · 155 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Under21c285.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over70c278.79$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6611338.9%44 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.161883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under29c194.52$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.411421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over68c180$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.63966.7%26 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over70c172.66$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.85468.5%37 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Over72c171.49$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.77365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9312271.3%87 W · 35 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2271…16a0backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38bb…2fcfbacked Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over69c115.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.941275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over69c101.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.452157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over68c100.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.988451.2%43 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick54cpaid+105.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911539.1%45 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over69c91.3$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.31070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8027…ffdebacked Under33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd2…084dbacked Under24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under32c78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.961,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…a3eebacked Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Over70c71.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+62.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under30c66.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.895341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d9a…c3acbacked Under31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc2…68cebacked Over69c62.97$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under29c61.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.547455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over78c59.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0939558.7%232 W · 163 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x944e…c3aabacked Over69c59.01$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.293100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47e4…cd04backed Over71c57.75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6046…afc3backed Over69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa41e…0a1cbacked Over68c49.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over70c49.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5414055%77 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over70c48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f83…465dbacked Under32c47.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3240%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad9e…53c2backed Over71c46.48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over70c46.38$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.796046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Over76c45.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.782250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8d3…60b0backed Over69c43.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b6…e60fbacked Over69c42.93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over73c42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4813073.1%95 W · 35 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under30c41.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5210647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under30c40.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.265350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed Over68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bec…aad9backed Over68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.236369.8%44 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under30c36.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7669851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.211275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over70c33.77$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1317247.1%81 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1726…6c90backed Over69c33.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc252…0aebbacked Over78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.051861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed Under32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x582a…a781backed Over70c31.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.34887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f21…8b6abacked Over77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9055…8fbfbacked Over69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick64cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.992277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+40.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over68c26.42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4642046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over69c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.137959.5%47 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Over68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.065768.4%39 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over72c21.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9514755.8%82 W · 65 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over67c20.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5516846.4%78 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Over78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.232263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8024…9ee8backed Over69c18.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.84560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over69c18.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.622181%17 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02f7…dd8fbacked Over71c15.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.31154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.354266.7%28 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.53366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Over68c14.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.741376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Over76c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4311159.5%66 W · 45 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.