TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,627
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,765

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,627 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Over44c44,367$19,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,063.78944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under56c20,629$11,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,552.5148141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c12,574$7,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,265.13,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d70…27e8backed Under70c4,040$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,836.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over39c3,875$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,374.844447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under52c3,710$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.741353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under63c3,221$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.6828345.2%128 W · 155 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over27c3,157$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under55c2,934$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6004351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under1c2,688$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.886752.2%35 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c2,476$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.292,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Over50c2,067$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed Under64c2,010$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.93666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca5e…3bcdbacked Under61c1,979$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Over28c1,738$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.1540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Under61c1,639$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over44c1,383$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.264040%16 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under73c1,200$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8761936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over55c959.09$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.592951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c945.12$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.81,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Under73c880.82$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6431050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under72c740.39$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.0838646.9%181 W · 205 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over45c725.87$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.231855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under57c667.37$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38038055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a1…20b5backed Under67c597.01$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8f7…61cbbacked Under71c535.21$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26011142.3%47 W · 64 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under71c425$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.7515747.1%74 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Under71c397$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.871154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under25c387$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.424751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under65c384.69$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under59c371.31$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.264043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over29c363.21$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.8827138.4%104 W · 167 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Under56c353.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.687365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Under66c300.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over27c265.92$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.6728755.1%158 W · 129 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac7…c99abacked Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+50.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.223964.1%25 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under43c220.93$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f540backed Under80c217.35$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Under73c210.96$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-80.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8582…959fbacked Over47c206.53$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+53%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over43c201.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1317456.9%99 W · 75 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c3…443ebacked Under50c199.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under52c195.6$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.45024%12 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Under65c192.31$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under10c173$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6749143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over41c171.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.657455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2343…688ebacked Under73c166$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.64366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under55c148.01$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.22729.6%8 W · 19 L-7.1wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-49.9%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over41c146.9$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9539558.7%232 W · 163 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under35c142.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01b3…52debacked Under47c140.65$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under73c139.73$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214055%77 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f42…0524backed Under72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Under73c137$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.01425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under77c135.48$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.129248.9%45 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked Under75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick39cpaid+42.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over27c114.1$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9611338.9%44 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Over54c111.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.531457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under14c109.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.98844.3%39 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd814…09d0backed Under50c108.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+56%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98c1…3d1ebacked Under73c89.04$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-60.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+62.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x300c…333fbacked Under72c85.76$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick61cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Over56c79.95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.183735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.923070%21 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+20.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over40c75.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6614755.8%82 W · 65 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under29c71.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.49650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.675468.5%37 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under58c66.48$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.566946.4%32 W · 37 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.534655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under55c64.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2811159.5%66 W · 45 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Over37c60.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.842450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over28c59.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.277129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Under59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3620753.6%111 W · 96 L+22.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+24.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf9df…8e17backed Over46c46.05$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over39c43.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.510549.5%52 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc2…68cebacked Over58c41.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305952.5%31 W · 28 L-7.4wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-19.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Under60c39.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.852065%13 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under51c38.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.715350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over38c35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.66850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa95…d397backed Under46c33.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Under72c32.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.74966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under58c32.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.734461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f5…d680backed Under80c30.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under56c30.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb549…c2b6backed Under47c30.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.26540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed Under47c30.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.22520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-72.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Under70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215464.8%35 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under63c28.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.577136.6%26 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.