TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$241,935
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$252,210

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,935 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Over49c69,312$33,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,556.796358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under51c42,971$21,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,9154050%20 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over49c25,000$12,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,699.996761.2%41 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c18,903$8,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1873,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under46c13,167$6,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,088.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Under51c10,100$5,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,15110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over76c8,638$6,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.194447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Under52c8,162$4,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,244850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under52c7,925$4,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,12110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c6,541$3,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,507.3948141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under18c5,499$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.172,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under15c4,718$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004318.6%8 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over63c4,322$2,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.928345.2%128 W · 155 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Over44c4,200$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,345.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.632548%12 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,470$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.72718.5%5 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick13cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under50c3,200$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6006549.2%32 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c2,896$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.1869851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under50c2,890$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.2238748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under53c2,700$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.993461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over42c2,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45011142.3%47 W · 64 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Under52c2,456$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.861172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+32.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under51c2,307$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.5927138.4%104 W · 167 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over51c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99016850%84 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0201428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-45.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x913c…6e48backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.985133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c1,961$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.1929855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Over44c1,922$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Under54c1,867$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under53c1,778$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.191145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Over48c1,701$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.4850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under44c1,531$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.974337.2%16 W · 27 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under52c1,513$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.762138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7509854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over48c1,457$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.328755.1%158 W · 129 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over53c1,374$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.962035%7 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over80c1,254$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.71283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under2c1,200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick4cpaid+842.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over80c1,097$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3622245.9%102 W · 120 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under50c1,096$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.255843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over46c1,044$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.5912635.7%45 W · 81 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5302045%9 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under50c981.72$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.8630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over50c981.72$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.863158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under51c951$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.0115747.1%74 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under51c917.41$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.881060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Under51c900$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4593647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over49c863.9$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.0112056.7%68 W · 52 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over53c857.49$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.0233737.4%126 W · 211 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over48c823.84$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.525349.1%26 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over49c780.86$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.249551.6%49 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under22c758.09$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.771,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under53c686$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over48c675.4$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.9911338.9%44 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006647%31 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over48c572.81$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.86333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under14c542.26$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.549143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over70c505.71$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7119055.3%105 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under50c480$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2406446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under50c480$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Under53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under52c457.12$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.526445.5%120 W · 144 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under6c415.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.758844.3%39 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006549.2%32 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe875…8492backed Under15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-62.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9bd…65a9backed Over50c388.48$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Under53c371.7$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1972951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under50c320$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605743.9%25 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407050%35 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under52c278.85$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1452025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over61c268.67$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.277129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac7…c99abacked Over72c246.72$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.081172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+50.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under50c220.73$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.373073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under36c220$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over54c217.63$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.888451.2%43 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Under51c214.85$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.571553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Under6c212.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7760%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Under35c212.09$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under53c207.9$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.183050%15 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Over61c207.51$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.722450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0810554.3%57 W · 48 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over60c202$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.572347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Over79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Under16c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-49.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under50c199.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018554.1%100 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over49c171$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.211936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over56c168.44$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5655058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under52c164$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2814652.7%77 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Over49c160$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under15c159$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.337136.6%26 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.