Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a472d7ad5c52766b55a5fea831d4496a1d2f7fd7d6c1c575edbe89fd5027440
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 32c | 3,808$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.34 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 67c | 2,540$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.36 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…c51bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,544$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 33c | 1,100$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.99 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 1,006$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.48 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 34c | 746.82$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.92 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 35c | 661.41$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.05 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 67c | 603.21$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.06 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 35c | 571.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.18 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 65c | 538.46$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 66c | 433.29$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked No | 37c | 399.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 34c | 393.59$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.66 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Yes | 63c | 392.05$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes | 67c | 322.67$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 14c | 264.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…60aebacked Yes | 67c | 249.21$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 33c | 229.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 34c | 193.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed No | 33c | 149.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Yes | 66c | 149.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 68c | 147.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Yes | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 32c | 95.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…57afbacked Yes | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes | 66c | 87.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…0b53backed No | 34c | 87.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 65c | 85.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 33c | 85.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 65c | 81.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Yes | 68c | 81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 65c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 65c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Yes | 65c | 75.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 32c | 73.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da8…e7a6backed Yes | 67c | 64.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147d…7c03backed Yes | 66c | 60.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 75c | 47.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 65c | 45.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked No | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…c10fbacked No | 35c | 42.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 41.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…fd08backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Yes | 66c | 36.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4df…3318backed Yes | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7272backed Yes | 67c | 29.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3656…6a0cbacked Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Yes | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…205ebacked Yes | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb640…c7bdbacked Yes | 69c | 18.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 63c | 16.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked Yes | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa036…6aa1backed Yes | 80c | 13.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.