TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ac7…c99a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
São Paulo FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.25
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$264.43
Grêmio FBPA vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.65
CA River Plate vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.87
Mirassol FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.18
Santos FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$53.7
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.98
EC Bahia vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$97.94
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Fluminense FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$105.5
Coritiba FBC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$46.28
Botafogo FR vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$271.05
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.53
Recoleta FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.71
Recoleta FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$93.65
Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.49
Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$28.92
CS Cristal vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
CS Cristal vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$31.67
All 20 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+50.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Hamburger SV vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$119.34
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$24.89
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$109.25
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$69.08
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.56
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.8
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$80.32
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.11
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.74
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.75
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$50.62
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$79.21
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$31.04
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.79
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.06
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$107.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Livingston FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.