TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$341,285
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$358,331

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,285 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over60c52,014$31,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,021.5710450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c45,335$20,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,867.894,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over50c30,294$15,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,147.131241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Under46c25,711$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,911.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe733…8ed4backed Over51c19,608$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under50c17,391$8,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,695.658351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under49c14,151$6,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,217.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Over50c12,309$6,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,154.573151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over50c10,219$5,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,145.6813645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c9,783$4,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,891.5383444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under67c9,513$6,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,107.9660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4d4…c3f9backed Over58c8,000$4,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,639.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under50c7,636$3,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,817.933345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Under50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0002100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00020054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under43c5,939$2,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,360.4914146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d8a…e818backed Over57c4,879$2,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,781.26728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over52c4,835$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,495.9735442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89ce…2edfbacked Under50c4,540$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2701070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under50c4,224$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.742040%8 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Over56c4,000$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,259.983351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Under49c3,859$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.182475%18 W · 6 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+63.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under45c3,801$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.222455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under45c3,801$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.240357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Over51c3,700$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.996944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under48c3,411$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.531637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c2,844$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.83,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under41c2,700$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.936756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2759052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2503444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25028045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over52c2,320$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.641346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over56c2,300$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.855253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under49c2,195$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.513560%21 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Under49c2,110$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over56c2,054$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.919466%62 W · 32 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over56c2,053$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.916764.2%43 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-63%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0203253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.992433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c58…f3c7backed Over55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Under44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.912334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Over52c1,888$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Under44c1,811$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.71070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under48c1,746$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.8648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under49c1,723$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.7211054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over42c1,714$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.8357139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76510820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fbc…095ebacked Over50c1,430$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Over55c1,416$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.851060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under43c1,377$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.651942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Over79c1,362$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.981136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6129457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under48c1,100$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.577851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c06…aa42backed Under47c1,063$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.16425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over56c1,015$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.522246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bf…0b30backed Over54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Over55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5504837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23ef…1d4cbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5104744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Under48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b29…556ebacked Over50c983.56$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.7860%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under49c959.76$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.496160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x246d…c74dbacked Over52c950$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under50c936.8$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.414647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over54c934.65$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.711,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8476…dc8dbacked Under43c930.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Over52c865.38$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under45c810.45$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.878229.3%24 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over51c810$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.19751.5%50 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over52c797.52$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.3945450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over29c779.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.42045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa94f…6d6fbacked Over52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07df…8be6backed Over60c759.02$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.41650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over69c720$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.61478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35710760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x598a…1bdfbacked Over52c673.08$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b69…dfcabacked Over51c621.24$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under49c613.48$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8722859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+71%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30610558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under48c599.98$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.993956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over51c582.35$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2978041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over54c572.52$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.122658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under40c562.1$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.2622553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under56c548.04$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.8592345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Over63c526.19$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under50c496$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Under42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.193043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c450.16$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.7164457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Over44c448.79$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.565561.8%34 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over52c439.47$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.451,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under46c436$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.992653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Over55c435.29$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.815655.8%87 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Over51c420$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.21546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20413163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20412863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.