TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x07df…8be6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Mls, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT4151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.75
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$147.82
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.63
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$104.55
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignonbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$174.45
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.23
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.75
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+196.4%+$481.57
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$245.81
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.07
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.22
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.87
Little Rock: Hiroki Moriya vs Timo Legoutbacked Hiroki Moriya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.67
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutetbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$240.32
Chisinau: Francesco Maestrelli vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.37
Vicenza: Lautaro Midon vs Joao Lucas Da Silvabacked Joao Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Roland Garros ATP: Cameron Norrie vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$151.29
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$74.5
Roland Garros WTA: Claire Liu vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Claire Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$68.66
Kosice: Kilian Feldbausch vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.28
Roland Garros ATP: Yibing Wu vs Marcos Gironbacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$115.55
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublevbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.07
Kosice: Guido Justo vs Lilian Marmousezbacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chisinau: Marko Topo vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$294.71
Chisinau: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.34
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+169.1%+$338.29
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+226.3%+$1,470.67
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$103.82
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+125.8%+$251.69
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.61
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$891.75
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.71
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$85.69
All 20 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.43
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.5
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.57
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.77
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-55.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+30%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+67.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+51.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$27.29
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.22
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$26.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+69%+$40.4
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.54
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$11.47
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+347.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+630.6%+$798.13
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$316.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.13
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+900%+$450
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+394.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+394.2%+$394.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$32.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: CCG (-1.5) vs Citadel Gaming (+1.5)backed CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.