Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: CCG (-1.5) vs Citadel Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x896cc40cd7596d27ca44af09d282f727b1adb2e1371efa04eb2dfdb96bf7e1be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Citadel Gamingof CCG Esports, Citadel Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Citadel Gaming | 68c | 6,326$4,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.2 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked CCG Esports | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked CCG Esports | 32c | 1,245$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.28 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Citadel Gaming | 59c | 1,123$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.62 | 1,792 | 51.1%916 W · 876 L | +50.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…6178backed CCG Esports | 41c | 708.66$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.55 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…d07ebacked CCG Esports | 37c | 705.62$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Citadel Gaming | 59c | 590.44$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.08 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed CCG Esports | 41c | 588$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.08 | 642 | 43%276 W · 366 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked CCG Esports | 40c | 392$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed CCG Esports | 37c | 321.62$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…0a61backed CCG Esports | 37c | 225$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Citadel Gaming | 60c | 167.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed CCG Esports | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed CCG Esports | 40c | 107.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -10.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8be6backed CCG Esports | 32c | 107.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…28bbbacked CCG Esports | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…8548backed CCG Esports | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked CCG Esports | 32c | 58.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78c3…9d16backed CCG Esports | 32c | 52.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f01dbacked CCG Esports | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 48cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe452…4de3backed CCG Esports | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked CCG Esports | 38c | 35.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d2…4186backed Citadel Gaming | 58c | 31.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed CCG Esports | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed CCG Esports | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked CCG Esports | 39c | 28.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Citadel Gaming | 64c | 16.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: CCG (-1.5) vs Citadel Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Citadel Gaming vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonCCG Esports won
- LoL: Citadel Gaming vs CCG Esports - Game 1 WinnerCCG Esports won
- LoL: Citadel Gaming vs CCG Esports - Game 2 WinnerCitadel Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.