TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$992,581
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,097,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $992,581 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x91ee…c5b8backed Yes38c711,567$272,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272,099.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c164,277$128,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,756.432,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No61c100,000$61,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,0006347.6%30 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No61c93,535$57,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,136.8393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No62c80,000$49,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,4001060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+50.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No62c37,008$23,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,924.026567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No62c34,383$21,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,065.548941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No61c27,000$16,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,5303562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes4c23,949$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.968139.5%32 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No62c23,200$14,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,9181241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4da7…7abdbacked No62c21,600$13,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,2081172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+68.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c21,564$13,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,157.3198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b0e…6257backed No63c18,175$11,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,724.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No61c17,105$10,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,670.953345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No64c16,867$10,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,148.265459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf344…9a04backed No61c16,093$9,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,276.23862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No66c14,078$9,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,732.7434239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No57c13,547$7,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,821.141163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No61c12,940$7,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,046.745752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No61c12,000$7,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,68040447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,70021058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.997160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No62c9,000$5,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3904351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No62c8,740$5,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,308.9119952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6426…ff48backed No62c8,010$4,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,043.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c8,002$5,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000.9368750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes44c6,744$2,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,951.074463.6%28 W · 16 L+6.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c6,573$4,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.651,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No63c6,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2506950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes40c4,509$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.897750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No62c4,457$2,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.665446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No61c3,994$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.921478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.30per pick49cpaid+87.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked No62c3,975$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No62c3,903$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.7135646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No61c3,900$2,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5211266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+66.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No62c3,415$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.249652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No62c3,200$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2084170.7%29 W · 12 L+7.4wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No63c3,200$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1846165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1104663%29 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No62c2,752$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.7343058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes37c2,662$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.786048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No63c2,400$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8884971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes21c2,367$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003923.1%9 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes37c2,086$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.5741954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No63c2,083$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.7114258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No63c2,000$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75018951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7406142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No78c1,945$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.4527453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes35c1,900$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.851540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No62c1,619$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.3126040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No63c1,400$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5186365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked Yes36c1,394$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No63c1,347$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.395151%26 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No65c1,231$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.778940.4%36 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No63c1,222$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.1424953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x08f9…c741backed Yes8c1,221$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.69825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+87.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No62c1,209$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.426659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes40c1,208$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.8811964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No63c1,200$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4443773%27 W · 10 L+7.4wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No63c1,200$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4445862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No63c1,198$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.267763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No69c1,180$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.2741144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No62c1,111$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.186155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No68c1,029$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.415271.2%37 W · 15 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd217…b3f3backed No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+93%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+84.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No62c958.76$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.3313839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No64c893.27$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.584242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No73c779.22$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.935955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No63c777$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.4914651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No61c750$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.57255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed No62c720.77$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.773759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed No62c718.17$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.44757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No63c700$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2598360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes37c675.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No63c650$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.56861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No62c640$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.65168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No63c634.91$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.923951.3%20 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2227358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa01…473cbacked Yes36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2226369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2284472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2226170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes23c599.97$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353813.2%5 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No63c555.54$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.553348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No75c541.09$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5813157.3%75 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No62c491.8$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7112351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No62c481.64$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0239354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No62c480$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.24669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No63c480$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.66465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No63c480$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.66070%42 W · 18 L+10.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No71c479.12$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0522545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Yes31c451.11$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1394658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No68c446.5$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0811260.7%68 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.