TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,624

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d63…2e49backed No69c12,000$8,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.972450%12 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes38c7,780$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,929.682,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes32c7,203$2,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.044254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No69c6,116$4,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,911.5934239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No57c4,878$2,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,097.542867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe54…3eddbacked Yes31c3,721$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.631030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No69c3,627$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.441963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9604663%29 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes31c2,263$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.595459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes24c1,764$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.6941144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes31c1,607$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.1221548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Yes32c1,250$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-48.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes31c1,210$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.2498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes32c1,173$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.2319952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No68c1,047$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.5641954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No75c861.77$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.795955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes32c613.15$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0327453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes37c499.33$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.034148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No68c460.01$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.236456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes32c437.5$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409154.9%50 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes31c429.01$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9933951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes31c413.1$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.063129%9 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12812153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes26c387.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8726241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes31c343.5$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.484942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes32c331.19$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9819042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No70c331.15$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7849850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No72c320.17$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6722545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008644.2%38 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No73c311.44$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.571,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813813.2%5 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No69c234.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.856070%42 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Yes22c222.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c220.86$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes31c216$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9614651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c201.49$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4741854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebc…41f2backed Yes38c185.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes31c160$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.67544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes43c151.53$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.162166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407837.2%29 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No58c146.98$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.738232.9%27 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes19c129.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c126.62$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes32c109.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510147.5%48 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed Yes27c107.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x75f0…d5e9backed Yes24c90.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes19c88.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.086155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No63c87.81$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3221748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No63c86$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8214936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed No67c76.02$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Yes32c72.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.051450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205038%19 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes25c67.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Yes30c66.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.01616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No70c65.27$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5831051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes31c63.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7265254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.68962.9%56 W · 33 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.621054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.615050.7%76 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes36c55.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes29c55.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No57c54.27$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2820749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes31c50.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes38c50.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3911260.7%68 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.57439.2%29 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07d9…c160backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94bf…ee06backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked No70c48.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.581770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a0c…3f90backed Yes42c47.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No77c45.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.455862.1%36 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No65c44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.566132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Yes38c43.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5710262.7%64 W · 38 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed No71c42.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.351546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No64c42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9214442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No60c41.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3411547.8%55 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7328…7f6cbacked No64c40.63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.75520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-68.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1833…1e48backed No69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Yes47c39.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.86358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No67c37.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2631958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed No64c36.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.132166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1765…c972backed Yes33c35.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Yes31c34.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.671741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes32c34.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111337.2%42 W · 71 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes31c32.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0319154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f4…b9debacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked No70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.572850%14 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes37c27.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016219.1%31 W · 131 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No64c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.729045.6%41 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed No75c25.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.423964.1%25 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed No58c23.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.811675%12 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.97160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No64c21.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.572642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked No67c19.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.414163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No63c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0323345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f93…3e9fbacked No70c15.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick73cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.155139.2%20 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.