TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2779…239a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
602
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
26

Best Category: Mls, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 61 out of 100; worst Tweets at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT15442.2%65 W · 89 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 154 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$59.3
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Aziz Dougazbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Damir Dzumhur vs Mathys Erhardbacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Bindabacked Lucas Poullain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowskabacked Weronika Falkowska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.48
National Bank Open: Valentin Royer vs Tommy Paulbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
National Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Terence Atmanebacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$6.62
Warsaw: Elizara Yaneva vs Yue Yuanbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Warsaw: Martyna Kubka vs Mona Barthelbacked Martyna Kubka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.15
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Ella Seidelbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$54.02
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
National Bank Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$565.53
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.6
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$510
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,431
Hagen: Stefano Travaglia vs Matej Dodigbacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Olaf Pieczkowskibacked Olaf Pieczkowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Warsaw: Laura Samson vs Mona Barthelbacked Mona Barthel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+116.1%+$360.32
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulasbacked Gabriela Knutson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$75.6
Heilbronn: Matej Dodig vs Guy Den Oudenbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.53
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,499Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$501.34
Showing 25 of 154 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT7828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$648
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.52
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.43
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.04
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$305.99
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+77%+$348
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.3
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.16
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.23
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$434
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$98
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$142
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$148
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.99
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.99
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$206.15
United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.36
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT4557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.85
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$67.2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.99
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.1
Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$19.71
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.06
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.61
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$75.69
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.67
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.84
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.8
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.39
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.19
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.96
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$91.72
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4341.9%18 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick33cpaid-15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.73
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.6
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.42
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.78
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18,830Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$7,169.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13,011Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+118.7%+$15,447.54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,220
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,945Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+307.1%+$9,042.94
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,262.83
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,030Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+59%+$2,969.99
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$915.22
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+177.7%+$764.22
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$672
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$1,720.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,647.8
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,702Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,701.98
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21,631Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$9,790.77
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$9,471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,471.47
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,465Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$389.39
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$158.95
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,865Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,865.35
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+48.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$430
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$730
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,017.99
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$184
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.99
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+1,791.9%+$1,326
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.99
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.53
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$98.39
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$122.99
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.29
Athletics vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.29
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$878.93
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.38
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.46
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$60
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$3,972.79
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,945Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,945.49
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.38
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,059Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+377.8%+$4,000.98
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.51
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,262.99
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,519.99
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$657.44
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,800
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,760
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,840Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,160
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,647Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,646.72
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Spread: Pistons (-12.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$444.24
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$400
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$93
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,152.14
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$587.18
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$265.63
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,685Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$440
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Earnings — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify say "Premium" 20+ times during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$344
Will Spotify say "World Cup" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.53
Will Spotify say "Stream" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$30.64
Will Spotify say "User" 5+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Spotify say "Customer" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$72.09
Will Palantir say "Healthcare" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will Palantir say "Insurance" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Palantir say "Apollo" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.2
Will Palantir say "Slop" or "AI Slop" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.25
Will Amazon say "Delivery" 10+ times during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.75
Will Apple say "Liquid Glass" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.38
Will Apple say "GPU / CPU" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Apple say "Health" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$31.83
Will Apple say "AirPod" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14.84
Will Apple say "iCloud" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$38.5
Will Apple say "Creator Studio" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+174.2%+$80.04
Will Meta say "Algorithm" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.36
Will Meta say "VR / Virtual Reality" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.32
Will Meta say "Llama" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.63
Will Meta say "UK / United Kingdom" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will Meta say "Dividend" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will Meta say "Hyperion" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.56
Will Microsoft say "Windows 11" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.58
Will Microsoft say "Excel" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.32
Will Microsoft say "Memory" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.1
All 25 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Magic Faraway Tree" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+395.8%+$258.21
Will "Mutiny" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$72
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$72.35
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+308.2%+$302
Will "Spa Weekend" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.19
Will "The Magic Faraway Tree" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+242.2%+$362.72
Will "Mutiny" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.92
Will "Mutiny" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$46.33
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.82
Will anyone say "Usurper" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Will anyone say "Bastard" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.48
Will anyone say "Dragon" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E7 S3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$40.81
Will anyone say "Grace" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E7 S3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$62.48
Will anyone say "Council" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.39
Will anyone say "Treason" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.14
Will anyone say "War" 8+ times during House of the Dragon E7 S3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.26
Will anyone say "Marriage" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$54.9
All 20 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.1
Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$125.5
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$202.08
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.89
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+308.9%+$226.64
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.25
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$95
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Peñarol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,546Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,546.06
Will Cusco FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.15
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.73
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$119.74
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.92
Will EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.68
All 19 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-61.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,131.58
Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$68.22
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.4
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Next Google Gemini Flash Model released by August 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Next Google Gemini Flash Model released by August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$37
Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.53
Will "Stock Market" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.46
Will "Europe" or "European" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.36
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.99
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,978.31
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.13
Will a new MAI model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 17 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-71%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Asian League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.2
Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will FC Tōkyō vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.6
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$408
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$474
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
Will V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Nagoya Grampus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.64
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$157
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$182.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+78.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+1,051.4%+$1,031.84
Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$798Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$798
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.94
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,397Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+77%+$1,076.69
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,507Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,507.46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$602.16
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$132.21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17,564Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+154.5%+$27,132.44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$257.99
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.69
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.63
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.54
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.27
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.1
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.85
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+194.3%+$396.11
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.89
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$58
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-87.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$669
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.28
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$602.78
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.94
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.99
Will Darline Graham Nordone place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$35.2
Will Mark Lynch place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.74
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$787.93
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.91
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will 2 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.78
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,018.94
All 12 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+193.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Mls — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$252.97
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+186%+$333.72
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+1,042.9%+$729.99
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+726.4%+$527.4
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+166.6%+$318.77
Will Houston Dynamo vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$153.49
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+51.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$822.68
Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$114.94
Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$61.1
Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+478.5%+$325.49
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be at least 57.0 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,164Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$642.29
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$85.72
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+157.3%+$3,384.61
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,749.07
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$894.1
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.16
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$675.99
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,233Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$1,357.05
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,259Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$1,090.95
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick58cpaid-75.6%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-62.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$797Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$796.82
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,099Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$900.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$903Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$903.26
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$912Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$912.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stefano Mazzoli finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.