Tennis · resolved market

National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaefb45dfb13dee04ab24e02b02a2d3ea3e8441582dc16c977e7e97377661010

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Frances Tiafoeof Frances Tiafoe, Marin Cilic
Resolved: Aug 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $884,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,073,721

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $884,027 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8bfe…2d74backed Frances Tiafoe	64c	133,637$85,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,403.55	79	69.6%55 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	71cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Marin Cilic	33c	64,546$21,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,314.91	1,178	46.3%545 W · 633 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Marin Cilic	30c	23,571$7,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,184.35	4,185	44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L	+14.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Marin Cilic	32c	23,440$7,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,540.56	1,435	24.3%348 W · 1,087 L	-36.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Marin Cilic	27c	18,384$4,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,872.89	3,605	42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L	-43.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf00…1199backed Frances Tiafoe	69c	17,610$12,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,403.45	64	56.3%36 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Marin Cilic	54c	16,287$8,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,722.12	2,281	52%1,187 W · 1,094 L	+82.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Marin Cilic	39c	15,264$6,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,024.15	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Marin Cilic	34c	15,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100	177	46.3%82 W · 95 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Marin Cilic	36c	14,312$5,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,152.37	566	51.8%293 W · 273 L	+11.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Marin Cilic	66c	13,770$9,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,088.2	1,193	48.9%583 W · 610 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Marin Cilic	34c	12,950$4,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,409.18	8,828	36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L	-193.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Marin Cilic	46c	12,834$5,842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,841.63	4,703	49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L	+166.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Frances Tiafoe	65c	11,392$7,377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,015.6	2,375	51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L	+8.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Frances Tiafoe	64c	10,261$6,567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,693.79	611	52.2%319 W · 292 L	-11.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Marin Cilic	29c	8,000$2,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,320	1,421	28.6%407 W · 1,014 L	+4.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Frances Tiafoe	41c	7,940$3,285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,655.25	8,217	45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L	+166.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Frances Tiafoe	66c	7,820$5,139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,680.97	930	55.8%519 W · 411 L	+23.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc711…e86ebacked Frances Tiafoe	64c	7,813$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,812.8	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Marin Cilic	36c	6,944$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.98	130	53.1%69 W · 61 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Marin Cilic	6c	6,250$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	302	35.4%107 W · 195 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Marin Cilic	4c	6,000$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	154	42.2%65 W · 89 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x772b…1840backed Frances Tiafoe	36c	5,556$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,555.56	91	36.3%33 W · 58 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Marin Cilic	1c	5,550$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.59	105	31.4%33 W · 72 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Frances Tiafoe	49c	5,519$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,818.92	104	48.1%50 W · 54 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Frances Tiafoe	43c	5,147$2,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,936.36	365	45.2%165 W · 200 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Frances Tiafoe	72c	4,679$3,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,310.18	655	58.9%386 W · 269 L	-32.1wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc13f…c336backed Marin Cilic	19c	4,631$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$872.2	221	23.1%51 W · 170 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Marin Cilic	38c	4,361$1,659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,659.5	330	37.3%123 W · 207 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Frances Tiafoe	70c	4,151$2,898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,253.22	629	56.9%358 W · 271 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Frances Tiafoe	66c	4,106$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,406.23	391	49.1%192 W · 199 L	+14.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Marin Cilic	9c	3,868$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.88	717	25.2%181 W · 536 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5455…8b2abacked Frances Tiafoe	33c	3,659$1,207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,451.33	132	39.4%52 W · 80 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed Marin Cilic	28c	3,329$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932.17	173	48.6%84 W · 89 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Marin Cilic	49c	3,183$1,574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,573.76	5,350	56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L	+228.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Marin Cilic	67c	2,994$2,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,003.73	118	50%59 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Frances Tiafoe	67c	2,898$1,942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$956.28	104	38.5%40 W · 64 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd575…e017backed Frances Tiafoe	66c	2,696$1,779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$916.61	63	54%34 W · 29 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Marin Cilic	51c	2,494$1,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,272.55	3,068	57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L	+173.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Frances Tiafoe	65c	2,308$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$807.69	272	54.4%148 W · 124 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Marin Cilic	42c	2,069$878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$878.18	275	54.9%151 W · 124 L	+18.2wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Frances Tiafoe	66c	2,000$1,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$680	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Frances Tiafoe	72c	2,000$1,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$565.15	1,365	43.3%591 W · 774 L	-26.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d5…732ebacked Frances Tiafoe	64c	2,000$1,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$716.65	345	55.1%190 W · 155 L	+19.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked Marin Cilic	41c	1,886$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.32	222	52.7%117 W · 105 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Marin Cilic	16c	1,741$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	135	49.6%67 W · 68 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Marin Cilic	37c	1,730$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.1	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Marin Cilic	34c	1,600$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544	124	44.4%55 W · 69 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe95…1a93backed Marin Cilic	35c	1,554$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.99	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Marin Cilic	34c	1,549$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.78	65	36.9%24 W · 41 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Frances Tiafoe	62c	1,500$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570	9,286	44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L	-245.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Frances Tiafoe	38c	1,500$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$924	536	44.8%240 W · 296 L	-20.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Marin Cilic	7c	1,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	394	38.1%150 W · 244 L	-16.4wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Marin Cilic	34c	1,477$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.79	922	37.4%345 W · 577 L	-10.9wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Marin Cilic	63c	1,477$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930.27	390	46.4%181 W · 209 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb94c…ae33backed Frances Tiafoe	61c	1,400$854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$546	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Frances Tiafoe	64c	1,362$872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490.35	3,256	48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L	-53.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Marin Cilic	34c	1,325$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.02	1,679	48.1%808 W · 871 L	+36.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d2c…3ec7backed Frances Tiafoe	72c	1,312$944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.27	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb550…2799backed Marin Cilic	41c	1,222$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	90	46.7%42 W · 48 L	+5.0wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Frances Tiafoe	72c	1,211$872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.11	289	52.6%152 W · 137 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Marin Cilic	1c	1,111$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.22	1,206	8%96 W · 1,110 L	+17.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+80.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Frances Tiafoe	36c	1,000$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640	2,068	34.9%721 W · 1,347 L	-44.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Marin Cilic	33c	998.61$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.54	144	43.8%63 W · 81 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Frances Tiafoe	67c	985.3$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.17	41	63.4%26 W · 15 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e8d…9c0bbacked Frances Tiafoe	65c	959.49$622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.12	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe004…d87cbacked Frances Tiafoe	63c	906.88$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.39	150	60%90 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Frances Tiafoe	44c	865$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.4	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Marin Cilic	43c	841.62$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.87	385	50.4%194 W · 191 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Frances Tiafoe	62c	806.45$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.45	124	67.7%84 W · 40 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Marin Cilic	34c	803.83$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.3	1,729	48.9%845 W · 884 L	+53.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Frances Tiafoe	32c	771.25$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.45	519	33.1%172 W · 347 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Marin Cilic	32c	750.02$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.28	2,049	46.8%958 W · 1,091 L	+19.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Frances Tiafoe	67c	746.54$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.54	940	68.1%640 W · 300 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebb9…1d15backed Marin Cilic	67c	746.27$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Marin Cilic	51c	704.14$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.13	1,065	54.7%583 W · 482 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Marin Cilic	47c	638.51$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	277	32.5%90 W · 187 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e6…4be3backed Marin Cilic	55c	602.9$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.59	193	47.2%91 W · 102 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Frances Tiafoe	59c	570$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x398f…30f2backed Marin Cilic	29c	569.61$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.76	169	41.4%70 W · 99 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Frances Tiafoe	65c	562.76$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.37	2,854	39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L	-83.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked Frances Tiafoe	65c	555$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.25	95	53.7%51 W · 44 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Frances Tiafoe	64c	554.93$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.78	289	47.8%138 W · 151 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Frances Tiafoe	41c	545.14$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.94	425	46.4%197 W · 228 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marin Cilic	31c	544.59$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.32	8,505	42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L	-166.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Frances Tiafoe	41c	539.9$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.94	877	41.3%362 W · 515 L	-14.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Marin Cilic	39c	510.58$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.23	721	47.3%341 W · 380 L	-18.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Frances Tiafoe	72c	509.32$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.8	910	51%464 W · 446 L	+23.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Marin Cilic	31c	500$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	903	35.8%323 W · 580 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Marin Cilic	37c	500$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	359	38.2%137 W · 222 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Frances Tiafoe	63c	494.64$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.54	346	55.2%191 W · 155 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Marin Cilic	32c	482.37$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.58	1,624	49.8%809 W · 815 L	-9.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd215…757abacked Frances Tiafoe	72c	469.42$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.28	289	54.3%157 W · 132 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Marin Cilic	37c	461.42$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.73	7,049	39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L	-20.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Marin Cilic	67c	447$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.49	1,111	45.3%503 W · 608 L	-35.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Marin Cilic	9c	444.44$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	139	38.8%54 W · 85 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3092…4aa9backed Marin Cilic	38c	435.47$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.48	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Frances Tiafoe	65c	432.99$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.59	528	47%248 W · 280 L	-19.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Frances Tiafoe	71c	432.42$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.7	317	49.5%157 W · 160 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Frances Tiafoe	64c	413.55$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.88	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilicthis page
Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs CilicCilic won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event