TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e8d…9c0b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
203
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT8251.2%42 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Katie Boulter vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$197.71
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$127.78
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$54.65
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$260.77
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lorenzo Comino vs Dusan Obradovicbacked Dusan Obradovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.45
Plovdiv 2: Yannick Alexandrescou vs Petr Brunclikbacked Yannick Alexandrescou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$165.12
Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkesbacked Max Houkes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowskabacked Carol Young Suh Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Warsaw: Mona Barthel vs Elizara Yanevabacked Elizara Yaneva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$256.13
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.47
National Bank Open: Raphael Collignon vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,362.36
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$606.02
National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
National Bank Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Ben Sheltonbacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$810.37
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+207.8%+$2,339.66
Warsaw: Susan Bandecchi vs Veronika Podrezbacked Veronika Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,558.98
Warsaw: Elizara Yaneva vs Yue Yuanbacked Elizara Yaneva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,294Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$862.39
Istanbul 2: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Florent Baxbacked Daniil Ostapenkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Istanbul 2: Akira Santillan vs Antoine Ghibaudobacked Akira Santillan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$736Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$736.3
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilicbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$337.12
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+326.7%+$65.34
Plovdiv 2: Gabriele Piraino vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Gabriele Piraino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$281.69
National Bank Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$603.25
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.25
Hagen: Max Schoenhaus vs Marko Topobacked Max Schoenhaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT5066%33 W · 17 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+318.2%+$95.45
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$7.14
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$61.21
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$96.58
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$42.9
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+160.7%+$639.26
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$32.37
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36.82
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.81
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40%+$17.99
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.44
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.33
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.28
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.28
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked Myth Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$12.15
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-56%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tobyl FK win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Drita win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Rīga FC win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Apóllon Lemesoú win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tobyl FK win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will FC Milsami Orhei win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$17.45
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Dbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$137.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$88.1
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$59.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.