Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-07-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e7e2c4fed2c02088549f45288a9b0d16313f68d4e88f8b50e8144d299d46fcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 49c | 5,397$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.7 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 40c | 4,061$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.71 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes | 75c | 2,164$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 1,938$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 55c | 1,176$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.15 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9fcdbacked Yes | 65c | 1,003$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 38c | 815.96$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.35 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes | 62c | 726.24$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.24 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 702.2$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.16 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 17c | 699.23$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.07 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 62c | 622.29$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.47 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 22c | 579.59$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 20c | 562.26$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.07 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 51c | 462.38$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.88 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 22c | 448$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Yes | 57c | 438.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 19c | 409.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes | 63c | 400.98$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 77c | 373.29$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…30f1backed No | 16c | 323.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 51c | 215.35$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.35 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 14c | 210$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 72c | 169.43$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 42c | 138.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Yes | 50c | 126.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked No | 18c | 121.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +352.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed No | 58c | 121.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 61c | 120.09$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 21c | 119.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 100.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…71e4backed Yes | 62c | 94.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked No | 52c | 92.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…0d93backed Yes | 64c | 89.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 17c | 88.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 44c | 82.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 44c | 81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 76c | 69.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…15a5backed No | 20c | 65.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 38c | 64.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaf…3c61backed Yes | 61c | 63.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…d4f7backed Yes | 62c | 62.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 26c | 54.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 79c | 51.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 27c | 48.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf909…927cbacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 75c | 41.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 47c | 38.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 63c | 37.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 49c | 35.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6490…1fccbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 62c | 32.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Yes | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 37c | 30.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 40c | 30.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 29.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 63c | 29.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 38c | 28.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 38c | 28.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…eae1backed Yes | 51c | 26.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…9c0bbacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…2329backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 64c | 20.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 61c | 20.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed Yes | 62c | 20.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 62c | 17.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-07-26?this page
- Will Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?No won
- Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-07-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.