Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06b09abdc36c662cdc89cb464416ecb147a9dcc1dd4a271f292c5b0db47a58a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 66c | 2,498$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.03 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 1,896$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.6 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Yes | 61c | 720.4$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.54 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 53c | 500$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 406.81$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 22c | 282.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 61c | 254.83$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 39c | 254.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.05 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 64c | 214.66$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 39c | 206.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.97 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Yes | 17c | 176.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 35c | 173.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 54c | 169.41$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 161.32$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 59c | 155.22$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 67c | 151$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 56c | 135.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 34c | 118.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 34c | 112$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 47c | 111.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 17c | 100.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…8fffbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…b2e3backed Yes | 21c | 93.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…7b1abacked Yes | 48c | 72.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…7551backed Yes | 21c | 70.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 71c | 62.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 34c | 52.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9fcdbacked Yes | 63c | 42.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked No | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 68c | 29.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked No | 70c | 26.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked No | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 57c | 18.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 69c | 18.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6d…c782backed No | 79c | 15.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 79cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-07-26?Yes won
- Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-07-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.