TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will NK Celje win on 2026-07-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,949
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,088

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,949 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes48c41,277$19,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,707.058155.6%45 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes0c40,638$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3927236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed No40c19,923$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,922.611747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes41c18,690$7,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,594.3891537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c16,558$8,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,860.811,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes60c8,433$5,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,056.557549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes61c8,395$5,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,106.7988631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes51c8,339$4,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,257.9472335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No35c6,466$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,185.929858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes60c5,000$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,004.9910046%46 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed No52c4,282$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.762661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No39c4,073$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.8826645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c3,560$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.061,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes45c2,814$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.8946741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No47c2,777$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.594942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes48c2,561$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.0616440.9%67 W · 97 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes65c2,222$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.291915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-72.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes52c2,185$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.424545.3%111 W · 134 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes63c2,077$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.2363346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes63c1,731$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.0752046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes60c1,693$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.7443252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Yes33c1,491$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4922437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No43c1,260$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.6744647.3%211 W · 235 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No48c1,250$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.673735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+46.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes59c1,188$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.0831847.5%151 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.474454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No56c1,171$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.321,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No60c1,147$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.6112551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No52c1,114$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.9260136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes46c1,089$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.2317848.9%87 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604513.3%6 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6003658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes67c1,000$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.5421460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes53c954$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.057356.2%41 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes60c942.78$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.6736142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes60c879.5$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.1332843.6%143 W · 185 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94e0…625ebacked Yes48c815.99$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.781330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No49c794.31$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.967339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes63c780$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.513649.3%67 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes62c770.79$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.933844.7%151 W · 187 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes54c701.48$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.24654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked No61c690$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.1683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes50c607.03$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.097540%30 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No50c577.33$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.165100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+115%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed No56c565.22$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.092853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+54.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes52c562.89$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.776546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No63c533.94$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.5339743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes40c521.84$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.9211035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef57…827dbacked No39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yes58c487$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.46666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No48c458.33$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.3338253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2b8…b908backed No33c428.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.42862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+44.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes70c422.64$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.8537649.5%186 W · 190 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No34c411$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.2614736.1%53 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No57c406.63$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6917058.8%100 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No61c388.32$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.076845.6%31 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes52c385.61$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.192334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No57c382.09$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9930856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes51c374.33$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5918736.4%68 W · 119 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes52c365.05$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.837548%36 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No40c350$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21011100%11 W · 0 L+5.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No45c348.96$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.915429.6%16 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes60c338.83$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.359741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes59c338$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4213936.7%51 W · 88 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No48c334.25$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.252661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes66c330$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6620241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9914332.2%46 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes68c291.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.984434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc338…f3d0backed Yes18c266.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes69c247.39$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4222245%100 W · 122 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2f…5d2ebacked Yes21c239.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No44c225.34$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7410752.3%56 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed No48c213.68$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.48944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes51c212.74$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1316743.7%73 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes70c202$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.413738.7%53 W · 84 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545635.7%20 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Yes57c174.4$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.871450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked No50c159.12$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.838250%41 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d91…cdebbacked Yes21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.52119%4 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d10…6bedbacked Yes70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Yes61c130.19$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.423161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x080e…78a5backed No48c123.83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.462711.1%3 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-62.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked No40c120.18$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.112114.3%3 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-54.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed Yes47c117.7$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.95966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes67c116$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.698237.8%31 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked No53c104.89$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2314238%54 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Yes34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes49c101.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.846232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes52c100.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.028440.5%34 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed No41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes64c94.92$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1316047.5%76 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed No41c94.3$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.231729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23f6…f092backed Yes23c90$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.950%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No50c89.22$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.616259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes59c86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.821553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No50c84.69$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.114353.8%77 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes67c80$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.638142.8%163 W · 218 L-22.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Yes36c79.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.796132.8%20 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes55c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9516651.2%85 W · 81 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.