Champions League · resolved market
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-07-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b9bb0da64d514f4538733db4fff2565335e64e64555b08d4e0fe21add0ecce4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 14,932$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.96 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 16c | 14,713$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.99 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 18c | 13,675$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.55 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 15c | 4,950$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.09 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 18c | 4,058$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.03 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 16c | 3,480$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.72 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 15c | 3,353$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.33 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 13c | 2,222$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.86 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 12c | 1,452$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.35 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 13c | 1,153$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.89 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Yes | 5c | 1,040$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 13c | 945.25$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 13c | 726.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 619.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 13c | 534.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 17c | 525$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 20c | 497.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 490.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 14c | 385$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes | 14c | 350.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 79c | 330.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 32c | 313.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.02 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 25c | 279.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Yes | 12c | 249.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 14c | 226$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Yes | 16c | 196.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 13c | 159.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 14c | 144.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 13c | 138$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 14c | 135.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 14c | 134.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 13c | 111.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Yes | 14c | 105.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 14c | 104.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 29c | 91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 21c | 85.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed No | 64c | 82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 13c | 81.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes | 16c | 69.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 23c | 55.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 22c | 54.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…9175backed Yes | 48c | 31.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 69c | 20.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-07-28?this page
- Will NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë end in a draw?Yes won
- Will NK Celje win on 2026-07-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.