Champions League · resolved market
Will NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75097697fab3740f1fd51b5c74bcafd69d6d51957de0dcc91428f1340b2c3412
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 9,172$3,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,325.59 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 8,992$6,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,959.36 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 78c | 7,825$6,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,103.5 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 20c | 7,500$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,027.02 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 4,482$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546.43 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 22c | 3,480$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.02 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 34c | 3,049$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.39 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 22c | 2,315$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.77 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 48c | 2,116$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.52 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 1,702$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.67 | 344 | 45.1%155 W · 189 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 35c | 1,444$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.02 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 4c | 1,130$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked No | 80c | 1,088$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 78c | 636.41$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.79 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 50c | 590.86$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.66 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 62c | 582.57$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.13 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked No | 63c | 577.04$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 557.09$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.67 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 43c | 516.27$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.48 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 43c | 508.18$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.38 | 315 | 56.5%178 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed No | 38c | 404.5$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.12 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 46c | 390.69$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.15 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Yes | 21c | 372.71$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed No | 32c | 326.22$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 79c | 246.2$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.94 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 37c | 196.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.16 | 401 | 43.4%174 W · 227 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 79c | 189.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 33c | 174.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 37c | 162.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.76 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 19c | 151$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.31 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 43c | 148.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 247 | 52.2%129 W · 118 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 56c | 127.79$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed No | 11c | 124.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 31c | 122$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 103.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 600 | 41.8%251 W · 349 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 21c | 103$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 52c | 99.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 40c | 95.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 42c | 92.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 21c | 92.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed No | 79c | 92.28$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 77cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed No | 80c | 87.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 78c | 80$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 28c | 77.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 30c | 74.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 22c | 74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed No | 64c | 68.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 80c | 64.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 38c | 63.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 76c | 53.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 80c | 50.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 79cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 80c | 45.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 44c | 44.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 69c | 34.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…209dbacked Yes | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 34c | 32.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 65c | 31.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 79c | 25.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 78cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…a070backed Yes | 80c | 23.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë end in a draw?this page
- Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-07-28?No won
- Will NK Celje win on 2026-07-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.