Mls · resolved market
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf4be27ad5a51664c9af7229d5dbf59d541a124fc5c15e67b4fafe1d0eb1e18b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 46c | 38,487$17,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,703.94 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed No | 54c | 37,081$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,080.84 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed No | 49c | 27,848$13,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,202.57 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Yes | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,750 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked No | 54c | 16,327$8,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,510.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 58c | 16,012$9,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,774.6 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 33c | 13,342$4,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,426.62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 53c | 9,923$5,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,663.75 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Yes | 35c | 7,978$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 71c | 7,442$5,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 46c | 6,364$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.47 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 40c | 5,972$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.58 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 49c | 5,258$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.15 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 47c | 5,126$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.51 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 60c | 5,069$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.31 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Yes | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 52c | 3,705$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.56 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 50c | 3,446$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.66 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 65c | 3,446$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.36 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa58…c0c7backed Yes | 29c | 3,274$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…5af9backed No | 55c | 2,773$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 64c | 2,256$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.83 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 69c | 1,897$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.18 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,851$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.35 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Yes | 49c | 1,760$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.08 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 1,747$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.95 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked No | 58c | 1,739$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.28 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 42c | 1,736$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.44 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Yes | 10c | 1,665$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,591$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.93 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 53c | 1,553$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 44c | 1,451$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.35 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…5297backed Yes | 19c | 1,424$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 42c | 1,230$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.78 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,215$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.09 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 49c | 1,204$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.73 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 47c | 1,150$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.46 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 52c | 1,117$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.45 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,109$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 1,081$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.09 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 71c | 963.83$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.81 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 70c | 887.99$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed No | 51c | 845.47$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.28 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 817.15$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.65 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes | 34c | 816.61$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…9671backed No | 79c | 759.49$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 23c | 700$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 53c | 672.99$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.42 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 26c | 555.39$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.62 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Yes | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 51c | 500.01$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 18c | 500$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.66 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 66c | 488.65$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.81 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Yes | 62c | 487.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 63c | 449.93$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.07 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 65c | 444.74$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.76 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f77…60b5backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 48c | 413.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 345.01$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.58 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 80c | 344.55$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 48c | 329.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 23c | 325$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Yes | 39c | 320.81$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed No | 49c | 313.92$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed No | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Yes | 33c | 299.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 48c | 270$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed No | 50c | 268.81$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.41 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 47c | 251.25$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.41 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c02…b65fbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 48c | 226.51$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.79 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 22c | 224.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5120…b26bbacked Yes | 40c | 223.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd913…2cf7backed Yes | 47c | 222.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Yes | 35c | 214.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 48c | 213.87$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Yes | 47c | 205.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Yes | 48c | 205.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked No | 47c | 204.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 48c | 202$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…a1aabacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 59c | 198.28$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 197$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed No | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 19 | 94.7%18 W · 1 L | +5.8wins | +0.31per pick | 64cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 65c | 183.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Yes | 62c | 180.46$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 63c | 178.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed No | 51c | 163.8$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-25?this page
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-07-25?No won
- Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.