TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,101
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,101 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No75c22,488$16,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,774.7998945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8201…8a41backed Yes76c13,537$10,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,310.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes23c11,096$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,598.1299340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No31c4,185$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.7527058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes35c3,730$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,411.449726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No33c3,487$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.7687154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes64c3,295$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.435247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes59c2,560$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.4544447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed No36c2,337$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.261020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-74.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes59c2,221$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.9336646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No33c1,878$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.1611633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No10c1,680$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1688760.9%53 W · 34 L+13.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No24c1,619$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.054639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes23c1,535$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.871,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No76c1,172$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.6770249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No51c937.44$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.881,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No20c887.52$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.919540%38 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…5af9backed No79c635.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…9324backed No23c552.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+103.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No16c498.32$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.81526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes24c440$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.8378344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31a1…1227backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e48…c701backed Yes23c415.01$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.191216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c360.15$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.8480358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No77c343.64$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.0972850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed No31c314.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.314344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes24c313.84$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.3373438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No24c310.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7713228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed No33c303$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.994955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes23c300$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes68c299.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964868.8%33 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked No15c241.38$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.438624.4%21 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes24c237.04$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.041136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Yes23c204.13$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.185350.9%27 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked No9c203$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.071520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-68.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Yes65c198.91$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.034566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes24c156.16$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.166250%31 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159660.4%58 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes19c141$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7752639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes23c140$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.84346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes23c130.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.431250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No44c124.65$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.330735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes43c116.94$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.216437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed No34c113.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.652548%12 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No14c109$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.225552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No55c107.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5944350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No62c99.96$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9816159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No46c97.66$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8854949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No79c93.68$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9292346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Yes23c91.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.712850%14 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes26c90$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.053426.5%9 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No57c86.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.880249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x007d…06f0backed Yes27c85.19$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+189.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed92…fbf2backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes24c82.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.32175.9%1 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.30per pick36cpaid-75.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Yes62c80.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.791457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b1…d5d2backed Yes75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No32c78.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0422841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes17c74.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1710045%45 W · 55 L+18.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+97.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5120…b26bbacked Yes56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed No30c67.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.586453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1b9…c40bbacked Yes19c67.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.281926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No32c62.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3230957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes71c56.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.58862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c9…ed71backed Yes27c55.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x474a…a275backed Yes28c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a1d…3fa1backed Yes72c53.27$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No76c52.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1113259.1%78 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked No77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.58447.6%40 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61fb…3b4cbacked Yes46c47.59$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3509…9e45backed Yes28c45.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.131861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+81.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Yes75c42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b4…f911backed Yes24c42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.922222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4941…b03cbacked No40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebd1…3639backed Yes51c38.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No77c35.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.637263.9%46 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed No69c35.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.221050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe688…4d80backed Yes75c34.57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187e…7272backed Yes60c33.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No75c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.516948.5%82 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes56c27.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8930444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82f3…5cd4backed No78c23.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.051241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed No56c22.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.541741.2%7 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa7fc…a221backed Yes72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.85862.1%36 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No69c17.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.232556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed No59c16.95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.