TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa87d…ff4d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
405
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT29428.9%85 W · 209 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 294 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$227.24
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$87.06
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$325.45
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$58.41
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$402.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$16.68
Showing 25 of 294 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT3354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$316.22
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$141.45
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$55.19
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick33cpaid+60%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Exact Score: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1 - 1 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+494.4%+$123.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$67.39
Exact Score: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1 - 3 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 2 - 0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 2 - 1 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 1 Deportivo Alavés?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 1 Málaga CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$106.22
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: New York Red Bulls 2 - 2 Nashville SC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$100.43
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Exact Score: San Jose Earthquakes 2 - 2 Los Angeles Galaxy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: San Jose Earthquakes 2 - 1 Los Angeles Galaxy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Will Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+58.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Exact Score: Hull City AFC 1 - 3 Manchester United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 0 Coventry City FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$133.85
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Coventry City FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-38.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$32.58
Exact Score: Al Riyadh Saudi Club 1 - 3 Al Nassr Saudi Club?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Al Riyadh Saudi Club 0 - 3 Al Nassr Saudi Club?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Nassr Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Exact Score: Al Fayha Saudi Club 1 - 2 Al Hilal Saudi Club?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Hilal Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-59.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-60.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.45
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.