TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Top Esportsof Top Esports, JD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$784,291
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$916,803

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $784,291 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 453 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc1c7…f0a7backed Top Esports66c45,714$30,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,435.9913061.5%80 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed JD Gaming29c42,589$12,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,514.481,37937.7%520 W · 859 L-43.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed JD Gaming47c31,751$14,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,874.421,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed JD Gaming43c30,519$13,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,089.7653750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ebd…b66abacked Top Esports72c25,096$18,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0264564.4%29 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c4…f745backed JD Gaming42c24,105$10,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,083.19955.6%55 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed JD Gaming32c19,917$6,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,360.9281143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb0…a15cbacked JD Gaming1c15,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150853.5%3 W · 82 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-87.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16e…bd58backed Top Esports78c14,566$11,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,275.9916043.1%69 W · 91 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed JD Gaming10c12,500$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.6255639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Top Esports58c12,215$7,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,130.091,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed JD Gaming44c10,935$4,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,824.6921347.9%102 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked JD Gaming42c10,689$4,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,489.3725453.5%136 W · 118 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked JD Gaming38c10,245$3,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,932.2767553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked JD Gaming42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20029443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked JD Gaming41c9,000$3,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,689.9790348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed JD Gaming23c8,980$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.489941.4%41 W · 58 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Top Esports58c8,621$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.641,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Top Esports57c8,567$4,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,670.651,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf949…3220backed JD Gaming43c8,000$3,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,442.688951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Top Esports58c7,500$4,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1251,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0182…5d00backed JD Gaming48c7,500$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6003138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked JD Gaming47c7,473$3,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,546.111,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed JD Gaming42c7,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9409255.4%51 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed JD Gaming31c6,518$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.6189347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67ed…085abacked JD Gaming38c6,278$2,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,385.6410541.9%44 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa759…1119backed Top Esports58c6,129$3,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,574.0511367.3%76 W · 37 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Top Esports58c6,000$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5201,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Top Esports56c6,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,64057957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Top Esports52c5,669$2,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.125546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32eb…ded0backed JD Gaming39c5,418$2,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.7531644.3%140 W · 176 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Top Esports76c5,377$4,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.7870162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed JD Gaming30c5,124$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.511,93048.2%930 W · 1,000 L+24.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Top Esports58c5,053$2,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,122.261,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69b1…2687backed JD Gaming47c5,012$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,335.5130843.2%133 W · 175 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Top Esports59c5,000$2,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050.961,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab44…7ffebacked Top Esports51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.9225944.8%116 W · 143 L+19.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed JD Gaming19c4,453$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.369741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed JD Gaming46c3,995$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.6819041.6%79 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Top Esports54c3,830$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.111,09638.9%426 W · 670 L-47.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf496…fe79backed JD Gaming48c3,718$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.3230546.9%143 W · 162 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ed…ee18backed JD Gaming41c3,635$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958b…50cebacked JD Gaming35c3,572$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.985034%17 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked JD Gaming42c3,571$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50028642.7%122 W · 164 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Top Esports58c3,537$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.541,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c8…a814backed Top Esports57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.776342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x060d…1094backed Top Esports52c3,315$1,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.2220621.8%45 W · 161 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-50.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4873…15babacked Top Esports53c3,019$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.8717852.8%94 W · 84 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c01…e7d0backed Top Esports59c2,887$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.579345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed JD Gaming41c2,676$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.2122640.7%92 W · 134 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Top Esports57c2,632$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.5858259.5%346 W · 236 L+27.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Top Esports54c2,545$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.651,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb496…1f45backed JD Gaming41c2,505$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.025740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Top Esports52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Top Esports79c2,500$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.3297427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3bc…5bd2backed JD Gaming46c2,391$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10028847.9%138 W · 150 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd29b…96adbacked Top Esports51c2,353$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.9416366.3%108 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked JD Gaming43c2,337$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed JD Gaming48c2,295$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.4444451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed JD Gaming43c2,280$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.3147533.3%158 W · 317 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Top Esports58c2,215$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.82,67235.7%954 W · 1,718 L-153.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf64e…a1ddbacked Top Esports68c2,186$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.418453.6%45 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed Top Esports77c2,132$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.459265.2%60 W · 32 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Top Esports51c2,112$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.632,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed JD Gaming40c2,003$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.21,20335.7%430 W · 773 L+6.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Top Esports54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92089943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d0…1a68backed JD Gaming5c2,000$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957826.9%21 W · 57 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Top Esports65c1,958$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.371,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x825e…2a99backed Top Esports57c1,946$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.3525949%127 W · 132 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x124e…1c58backed JD Gaming44c1,882$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.9416954.4%92 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Top Esports53c1,852$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.4415543.9%68 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9973…bd7fbacked Top Esports66c1,844$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.517953.1%95 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked JD Gaming48c1,834$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.4183460.8%507 W · 327 L+44.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f6a…599abacked JD Gaming48c1,822$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.675949.2%29 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9d…4be6backed Top Esports58c1,796$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.185955.9%33 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x174f…a4acbacked Top Esports71c1,790$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.546162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked JD Gaming41c1,750$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.587844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed Top Esports56c1,740$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.2662158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Top Esports60c1,625$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65046552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked JD Gaming34c1,591$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.3834151.6%176 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Top Esports58c1,542$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.7355844.6%249 W · 309 L-27.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked JD Gaming44c1,520$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.0148844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6f…6c5cbacked Top Esports59c1,519$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.7415443.5%67 W · 87 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked JD Gaming50c1,506$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.251,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Top Esports54c1,496$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.321049.5%104 W · 106 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a26…1589backed Top Esports58c1,472$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.8419147.1%90 W · 101 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Top Esports57c1,416$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.8820047%94 W · 106 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6478…c969backed Top Esports58c1,397$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.7414650%73 W · 73 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Top Esports57c1,393$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.5423454.7%128 W · 106 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed JD Gaming50c1,389$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.461,04450.4%526 W · 518 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Top Esports54c1,300$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60032844.2%145 W · 183 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Top Esports58c1,294$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.481,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Top Esports53c1,270$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.083,11933.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L-151.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x066d…1bffbacked Top Esports78c1,152$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.422843.9%100 W · 128 L+16.4wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Top Esports60c1,149$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.862,30339.4%907 W · 1,396 L-82.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked Top Esports53c1,137$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.8215552.3%81 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Top Esports53c1,132$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.0822953.7%123 W · 106 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Top Esports58c1,119$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.1195847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed Top Esports56c1,102$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.9768443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked JD Gaming37c1,085$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40029945.8%137 W · 162 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.