Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5467a8eaa5e068fc3925ca576b31bfe3120695e2bb10bf3951f5fb97c8f117be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7986…baa5backed Under | 50c | 12,152$6,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,078.67 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…9970backed Over | 50c | 9,700$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850.09 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 2,510$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.51 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…ed3bbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 16c | 550.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 17c | 526.07$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 52c | 405.68$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.33 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 50c | 382$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under | 45c | 233.49$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.42 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 71c | 183.77$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 49c | 152.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 30c | 134.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac07…3193backed Under | 53c | 129.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 55c | 117.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 13c | 113.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked Over | 55c | 105.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -11.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 50c | 101.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 59c | 101.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 49c | 101.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70aa…eee2backed Under | 58c | 86.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 51c | 85.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…3024backed Over | 57c | 59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 159 | 27%43 W · 116 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Under | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 41.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344c…b454backed Over | 50c | 40.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -13.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…56fabacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…47e6backed Under | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…afc9backed Over | 42c | 31.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…b3dcbacked Over | 51c | 29.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 80c | 28.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 40c | 26.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 49c | 25.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 209 | 67%140 W · 69 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…e0f8backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)Top Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.