Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4966fa5720321429b0293697512f69c1f38c9b4bd27cbc2740fba5356586b7bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esportsof Top Esports, JD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69b1…2687backed JD Gaming | 70c | 2,233$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.08 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Top Esports | 30c | 1,690$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.05 | 267 | 29.2%78 W · 189 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed JD Gaming | 69c | 1,217$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.51 | 216 | 47.7%103 W · 113 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1a…6049backed Top Esports | 31c | 619.1$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.18 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Top Esports | 31c | 498.35$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.86 | 290 | 45.5%132 W · 158 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Top Esports | 30c | 468.91$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.37 | 1,143 | 38.8%444 W · 699 L | -46.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Top Esports | 30c | 392.9$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.58 | 217 | 51.2%111 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c5…2642backed JD Gaming | 72c | 334.9$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Top Esports | 30c | 219.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.65 | 266 | 41%109 W · 157 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Top Esports | 27c | 219.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.24 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed JD Gaming | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7e…e0b3backed Top Esports | 22c | 79.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…f9e4backed Top Esports | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed JD Gaming | 70c | 67.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Top Esports | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 143 | 62.2%89 W · 54 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Top Esports | 28c | 54.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Top Esports | 30c | 50.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Top Esports | 30c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 464 | 48.9%227 W · 237 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…d5e9backed JD Gaming | 78c | 35.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 307 | 66.4%204 W · 103 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Top Esports | 44c | 34.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked JD Gaming | 60c | 34.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 343 | 51.3%176 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a4…689bbacked JD Gaming | 36c | 32.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Top Esports | 42c | 27.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed JD Gaming | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 405 | 51.1%207 W · 198 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…d488backed JD Gaming | 74c | 17.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…a5babacked JD Gaming | 66c | 15.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.