TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52dc…33c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
885
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT76936.3%279 W · 490 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 769 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$20.19
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$7.6
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$17.28
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+283.9%+$56.78
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+119.4%+$17.91
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$8.59
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+121.9%+$14.63
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.74
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$5.82
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 769 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$14.63
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$21.57
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$14.87
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+183.1%+$36.62
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$5.41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$4.31
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+200.3%+$70.09
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+191.9%+$42.23
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.99
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
France vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$91.67
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$32.27
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$303
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.36
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17.52
Mexico vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$95.06
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$98.18
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+73.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.