Mls · resolved market
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d999e1cf5269916facf9a3483d75cdf55caf8430787cf618ae96129f7d91070
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $499,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $506,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cbe…1f4ebacked No | 43c | 128,586$54,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,680.17 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes | 57c | 77,612$44,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,358.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 59c | 59,360$35,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,029.71 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 59c | 49,322$29,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,203.33 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 58c | 45,338$26,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,212.95 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 58c | 34,663$20,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,251.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 24,175$9,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,206.78 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked No | 41c | 15,516$6,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,114.27 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 42c | 13,575$5,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,897.82 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 41c | 11,435$4,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,773.09 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 42c | 10,317$4,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,971 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 49c | 10,298$5,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,239.49 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 43c | 10,050$4,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,778.5 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 33c | 9,974$3,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,717.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 43c | 9,567$4,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,498.64 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 50c | 9,316$4,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,667.43 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 43c | 8,500$3,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,863.62 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 41c | 7,656$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,517.3 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 41c | 7,614$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.15 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 44c | 6,853$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.16 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 6,679$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,891.82 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked No | 41c | 6,052$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 11c | 6,006$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.34 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 57c | 5,000$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed No | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 58c | 4,243$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.68 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 41c | 3,900$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 58c | 3,762$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.93 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc32…92d2backed Yes | 36c | 3,609$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 41c | 3,585$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.05 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 3,550$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.27 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…bc0dbacked No | 41c | 3,440$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 41c | 3,382$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.88 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 3,359$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.07 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 40c | 3,033$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.5 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 59c | 2,940$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.56 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…1ad1backed Yes | 57c | 2,822$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 72cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 41c | 2,802$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.25 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes | 59c | 2,712$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 61c | 2,587$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.45 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 41c | 2,555$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.18 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…6da7backed Yes | 58c | 2,059$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 43c | 1,952$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.73 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 31c | 1,925$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.28 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 68c | 1,841$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.35 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 21c | 1,813$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.17 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 78c | 1,800$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.52 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 41c | 1,792$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.81 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 42c | 1,781$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.79 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed Yes | 57c | 1,760$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…76cdbacked No | 42c | 1,745$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…1d07backed Yes | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 73c | 1,678$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.68 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 39c | 1,616$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.36 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Yes | 77c | 1,460$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.30per pick | 69cpaid | -48%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 29c | 1,346$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.78 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…62ecbacked Yes | 76c | 1,326$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 40c | 1,282$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.52 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 41c | 1,282$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.33 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 40c | 1,282$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.34 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked No | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 41c | 1,203$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.77 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 51c | 1,150$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.47 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 42c | 1,145$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.46 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 59c | 1,078$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.24 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Yes | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 42c | 1,004$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.39 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 31c | 931.82$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.37 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…2c16backed No | 53c | 912.35$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 67c | 881.12$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 42c | 869.63$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.44 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…f3dfbacked Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 40c | 850$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 59c | 815.7$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 57c | 812.02$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.66 | 79 | 74.7%59 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 65c | 800$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.31 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…f2a3backed No | 41c | 766.49$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 66c | 759$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.84 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea40…098bbacked Yes | 51c | 757.53$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 41c | 729$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.11 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 41c | 678.99$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.72 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Yes | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…774cbacked Yes | 45c | 645.76$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 64c | 638.56$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.21 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Yes | 59c | 635.59$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 41c | 626.76$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.79 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…9401backed Yes | 77c | 619$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.84 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 74cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 58c | 612.94$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.48 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Yes | 10c | 599$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 41c | 580.37$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.42 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…64bbbacked No | 53c | 577.36$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed No | 43c | 567.37$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 24c | 554.37$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.32 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…850cbacked No | 39c | 535$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?this page
- Will New York City FC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.