Mls · resolved market
Will New York City FC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8da2d7169ad91d797c2da72723c036d870804a11778eb01276c7b818625e9f4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 78c | 4,190$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.96 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 20c | 3,396$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.07 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 25c | 3,371$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.72 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 12c | 3,170$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.17 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 19c | 3,147$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.76 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 13c | 3,012$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.23 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 34c | 2,535$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.05 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 18c | 2,193$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.37 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed No | 19c | 2,180$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.93 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 1,849$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 1,491$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.54 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 20c | 1,271$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.19 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 1,183$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.91 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 10c | 1,080$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.74 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 29c | 1,054$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.42 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Yes | 80c | 1,002$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.30per pick | 69cpaid | -48%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 23c | 917.93$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.81 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 22c | 726.86$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.93 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 39c | 605.28$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.51 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Yes | 23c | 586$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.22 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 38c | 558.74$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.74 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 21c | 485.38$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3840…93ffbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 23c | 421.23$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.35 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 35c | 417.26$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.13 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 56c | 385$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.4 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 26c | 360$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.13 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 77c | 352.93$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.76 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 351.89$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.81 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed No | 20c | 338$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 302.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.05 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 234.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.19 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 59c | 194.97$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.58 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed No | 26c | 194.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 71c | 193.61$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.2 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1a…8c6abacked No | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes | 61c | 180.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 23c | 179.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.23 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 20c | 175.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes | 24c | 154.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 22c | 151.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…602fbacked No | 20c | 142$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed No | 22c | 140.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Yes | 35c | 135.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 37c | 134.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…e893backed Yes | 24c | 121.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 70c | 120.46$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 63c | 119.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…022abacked No | 78c | 116.31$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 59c | 116.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 78c | 113$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed No | 20c | 109.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 77c | 108.88$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 60c | 107.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked No | 19c | 105.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 73c | 103.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed No | 19c | 98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 75c | 97.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 76c | 85.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…eadfbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 77c | 79.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -9.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 23c | 78.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 63c | 77.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbc22…9c09backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 23c | 74.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 26c | 70.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 33c | 69.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 25c | 68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed No | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed No | 19c | 61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed No | 25c | 60.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 71c | 58.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed No | 20c | 53.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 66c | 52.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 66c | 52.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 66c | 52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…12b2backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 68c | 48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 77c | 44.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 52c | 41.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 62c | 38.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 58c | 38.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Yes | 34c | 37.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 71c | 36.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c26…3ce6backed Yes | 52c | 33.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed No | 66c | 31.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 35c | 28.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 66c | 28.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed Yes | 71c | 28.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York City FC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?this page
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?No won
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.