Mls · resolved market
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07c80743e07f18c43be7e5de56984b526cb2779a22e5e431b496ce87b8bf3497
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 39c | 9,222$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550.85 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 15c | 8,354$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.69 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 18c | 5,454$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.65 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 20c | 4,697$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.41 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 12c | 3,621$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.25 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 20c | 3,225$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…e03cbacked No | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 19c | 2,159$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.23 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 19c | 2,143$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.17 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 46c | 1,765$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.93 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 79c | 1,585$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.22 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 20c | 1,564$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.21 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 60c | 1,525$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.16 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 1,353$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.48 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,341$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.7 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,305$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.89 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed No | 47c | 1,251$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 1,174$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.79 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 69c | 1,074$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.48 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 930.65$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.95 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 31c | 928$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.4 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 49c | 892.85$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.21 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 19c | 772.13$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 2c | 736$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 19c | 692.33$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.54 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 51c | 660.52$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.07 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Yes | 16c | 626.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +204.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 46c | 520.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 25c | 433.22$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 18c | 404.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 28c | 391.59$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.81 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 72c | 387$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 72c | 380.3$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.81 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 30c | 366$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 79 | 74.7%59 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Yes | 28c | 362.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 359.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 357.46$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ac…fce6backed Yes | 9c | 329.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…60b9backed Yes | 19c | 307.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 19c | 286.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 19c | 273.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 73c | 245.04$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 78c | 244$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 45c | 243.11$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 238.07$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 78c | 234.41$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 20c | 213.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 19c | 205.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.30per pick | 36cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 18c | 198$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 15c | 193.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 20c | 191$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…602fbacked Yes | 9c | 187.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…511dbacked Yes | 20c | 180$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 46c | 134.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed Yes | 19c | 126.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed No | 80c | 124.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 14c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce9…a994backed Yes | 30c | 117.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 32c | 108.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 80c | 106.05$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 80c | 106.05$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 80c | 105.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 80c | 104.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 11c | 102.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 72c | 96.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 66c | 91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 79c | 88.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 75c | 81.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 19c | 76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 19c | 68.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 19c | 68.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 74c | 67.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 74c | 67.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Yes | 16c | 65.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 80c | 50.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 79cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Yes | 27c | 45.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed No | 77c | 45.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Yes | 26c | 44.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…e755backed Yes | 30c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 80c | 28.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed No | 54c | 24.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked No | 80c | 22.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 19.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…143fbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-31?this page
- Will New York City FC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.