TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e0b…bc0d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3250%16 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,504.5
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,092
Cincinnati Open: Anna Blinkova vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$316.8
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sofia Keninbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.1
Cincinnati Open: Janice Tjen vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,952Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$1,048.21
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworthbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,920
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,096Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,053.49
Cincinnati Open: Emma Navarro vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$774
Cincinnati Open: Quentin Halys vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,036.8
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,263
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,456
Cincinnati Open: Sofia Kenin vs Eva Lysbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,080
Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Sinja Krausbacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,920Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,080
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$756
Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungellitibacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,029Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,071
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$576
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,738Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$2,111.5
Cincinnati Open: Maya Joint vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,698Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,698
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$91.19
Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignonbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,330Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,170
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,131Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+184.8%+$2,089.39
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$93.5
National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$777
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,090.81
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritzbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$544
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,264Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,263.9
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,193Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,193
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,235Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$665.01
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,193Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,107
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$723.43
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$823.19
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$258
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,979Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,978.79
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,556Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,044
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$954Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$953.57
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,032
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$80.52
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,602Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,038.4
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,565Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$2,074.8
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,888Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,091.59
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.