Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f0152281c867a8b1290332a936df74ae00fe535c3e0d23eb1fa80b70cd3bb71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adam Waltonof Adam Walton, Nicolas Mejia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Nicolas Mejia | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nicolas Mejia | 36c | 5,359$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.8 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Adam Walton | 65c | 4,198$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.53 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked Nicolas Mejia | 32c | 4,050$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Nicolas Mejia | 7c | 3,804$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.26 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Adam Walton | 65c | 3,328$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.91 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Nicolas Mejia | 37c | 2,838$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…6bd4backed Adam Walton | 70c | 2,472$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.4 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 63cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Adam Walton | 63c | 2,468$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.27 | 627 | 52%326 W · 301 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nicolas Mejia | 32c | 1,891$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.6 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Adam Walton | 72c | 1,787$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.41 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…bc0dbacked Nicolas Mejia | 36c | 1,600$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nicolas Mejia | 34c | 1,428$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.66 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…e0f2backed Nicolas Mejia | 35c | 1,425$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.81 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f8…894fbacked Nicolas Mejia | 15c | 1,420$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Nicolas Mejia | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…9050backed Nicolas Mejia | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Adam Walton | 65c | 1,205$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.86 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Adam Walton | 75c | 1,190$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.22 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Adam Walton | 63c | 1,081$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.08 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Nicolas Mejia | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 546 | 41.6%227 W · 319 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Nicolas Mejia | 13c | 1,061$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.42 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Nicolas Mejia | 39c | 1,030$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.67 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Nicolas Mejia | 32c | 1,000$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.95 | 562 | 44.1%248 W · 314 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Nicolas Mejia | 31c | 959.29$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Nicolas Mejia | 15c | 941.9$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.89 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Nicolas Mejia | 8c | 937.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 156 | 34%53 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Nicolas Mejia | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Nicolas Mejia | 48c | 826$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.98 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nicolas Mejia | 23c | 809.83$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.97 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Nicolas Mejia | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Nicolas Mejia | 20c | 763.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.44 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Adam Walton | 64c | 756.09$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.24 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Adam Walton | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 369 | 64.2%237 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Adam Walton | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Nicolas Mejia | 36c | 713.75$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nicolas Mejia | 2c | 710$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Nicolas Mejia | 37c | 691.2$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.74 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Adam Walton | 68c | 661.59$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.71 | 553 | 57.3%317 W · 236 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Adam Walton | 66c | 654.69$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.59 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…4523backed Nicolas Mejia | 5c | 654.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Adam Walton | 68c | 645.2$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.46 | 476 | 57.4%273 W · 203 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Adam Walton | 65c | 634.49$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.14 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…60f0backed Nicolas Mejia | 43c | 603.6$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 281 | 47.3%133 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Adam Walton | 68c | 588.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.33 | 524 | 57.3%300 W · 224 L | +29.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Adam Walton | 68c | 583.46$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.71 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…3d9bbacked Nicolas Mejia | 8c | 562.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Nicolas Mejia | 37c | 559.98$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.19 | 368 | 38.3%141 W · 227 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Adam Walton | 64c | 535.32$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.71 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Nicolas Mejia | 37c | 514$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.18 | 219 | 44.3%97 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nicolas Mejia | 35c | 511.92$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.62 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Nicolas Mejia | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +8.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…d106backed Nicolas Mejia | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Adam Walton | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Adam Walton | 67c | 439$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.44 | 746 | 54.8%409 W · 337 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Adam Walton | 68c | 432$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…e889backed Nicolas Mejia | 37c | 421.24$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.86 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Adam Walton | 61c | 419.79$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.52 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Nicolas Mejia | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Adam Walton | 68c | 388$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.16 | 468 | 55.1%258 W · 210 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Adam Walton | 68c | 387$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 532 | 55.5%295 W · 237 L | +24.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5da…5fb9backed Nicolas Mejia | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…a555backed Nicolas Mejia | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Nicolas Mejia | 36c | 356.88$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Nicolas Mejia | 34c | 345.56$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Adam Walton | 68c | 339.03$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 508 | 58.1%295 W · 213 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…0304backed Nicolas Mejia | 37c | 337.64$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.62 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Nicolas Mejia | 33c | 323.7$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…663ebacked Nicolas Mejia | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…46f9backed Nicolas Mejia | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Adam Walton | 57c | 312.35$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.59 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Adam Walton | 64c | 305.49$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Adam Walton | 64c | 299.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Nicolas Mejia | 36c | 275.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 195 | 37.4%73 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f9…5cd9backed Nicolas Mejia | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…1c4fbacked Nicolas Mejia | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 35%55 W · 102 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…c45cbacked Nicolas Mejia | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 33.8%45 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9538…96f4backed Nicolas Mejia | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 32%40 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2a77backed Nicolas Mejia | 60c | 249.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.83 | 69 | 76.8%53 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93e6…5d86backed Nicolas Mejia | 36c | 243.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Nicolas Mejia | 34c | 240$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Nicolas Mejia | 36c | 236.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…ffa7backed Adam Walton | 66c | 204.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Nicolas Mejia | 25c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Adam Walton | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 613 | 41.8%256 W · 357 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Adam Walton | 64c | 196.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Adam Walton | 61c | 196.11$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.48 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fab…3cabbacked Nicolas Mejia | 25c | 190$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 263 | 30.8%81 W · 182 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb994…fad1backed Nicolas Mejia | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Nicolas Mejia | 22c | 182.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…0242backed Adam Walton | 69c | 182.61$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Nicolas Mejia | 30c | 175.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 310 | 31%96 W · 214 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6851…ec54backed Adam Walton | 71c | 169.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…b9b6backed Nicolas Mejia | 8c | 158.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…46fcbacked Adam Walton | 43c | 155.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +57%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…4f00backed Nicolas Mejia | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Adam Walton | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 482 | 58.1%280 W · 202 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Nicolas Mejia | 34c | 149$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Nicolas Mejia | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Nicolas Mejia | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejiathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Walton vs MejiaWalton won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.