TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc42…6bd4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 60 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick63cpaid+66.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$1,927.6
Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$58.05
Cincinnati Open: Anna Blinkova vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$393.12
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,525Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$425.16
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,480.19
Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,224Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$576
Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungellitibacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$904Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$841.22
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,727Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$745.4
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,640Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$621.29
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$187.2
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$47.32
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Choinskibacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$109.55
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,962.8
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,426Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+137.7%+$1,963.15
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$497.11
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricketlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bangladesh win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$863Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$776.08
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kauê Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.73
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$815Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$848.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+572.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+572.3%+$222.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,257.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,862Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,862
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.