TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$199,140
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,140 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4408…1b6abacked No72c23,800$17,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,136.143429.4%10 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes36c19,492$7,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,450.131,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes32c16,268$5,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,029.6288137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a29…25a8backed No73c15,964$11,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,653.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20b8…aa04backed Yes29c14,501$4,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,257.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes27c10,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,30010443.3%45 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes27c10,000$2,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,311.663627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes28c9,097$2,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,550.4325729.6%76 W · 181 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No68c5,424$3,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,694.670435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes27c4,910$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,583.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+85.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No67c4,491$3,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,011.8116440.9%67 W · 97 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No12c3,862$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.162821.4%6 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c3,774$2,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,754.9731047.4%147 W · 163 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No59c3,709$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.2845042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No71c3,594$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,565.273839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No15c3,235$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.234942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No72c3,138$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,259.154658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No70c3,116$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,182.5831342.5%133 W · 180 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0ac…de2abacked Yes27c2,700$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9711100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c2,669$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.4232944.7%147 W · 182 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed No2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+379.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c2,357$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.7441553%220 W · 195 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadea…b96dbacked Yes28c2,200$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No51c2,131$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.3120832.2%67 W · 141 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No1c2,020$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.21618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-58.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4603259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.965151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No14c1,869$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.4843333.5%145 W · 288 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e0f…9304backed Yes27c1,852$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c1,648$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.2159441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf8b…1a59backed No74c1,545$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.575858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5da…625abacked Yes35c1,420$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+54.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No73c1,407$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.135143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No72c1,279$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.2612250.8%62 W · 60 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x405e…9c34backed Yes27c1,250$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.98616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-38.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d91…cdebbacked No4c1,130$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.52119%4 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No48c1,129$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.924944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b08…02abbacked Yes27c1,026$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.039018.9%17 W · 73 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73034642.2%146 W · 200 L-15.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No1c985.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.851822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes27c740.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.744332.6%14 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc42…6bd4backed No17c688.24$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No73c684.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb05…accbbacked No74c651$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.741225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No69c646.99$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.8612348.8%60 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed No66c644.46$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.891315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-62.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes42c629.98$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.391040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes26c613.12$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.713818.4%7 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No2c600$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102520%5 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No72c600$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4323464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce0c…d839backed Yes32c550.19$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+58%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No55c544$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.217936.9%66 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36061447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes27c499.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.991258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes32c497.14$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.4123352.8%123 W · 110 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Yes32c491.76$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.484334.9%15 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No65c486.73$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.316845.6%31 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x674b…8284backed No74c416.22$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes60c408.81$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.041,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes36c407.47$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.6630856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Yes32c401.08$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.156259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No73c400$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2922560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed No73c400$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed No56c397.35$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.53100%0 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No20c376.47$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes34c351.78$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.1917058.8%100 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5439…c45bbacked Yes65c306.48$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8428…a5fbbacked Yes35c304$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No45c299.97$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.994740.4%19 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes23c298.52$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.8648947.6%233 W · 256 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No47c268.91$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.068645.3%39 W · 47 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No30c268.07$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4712044.2%53 W · 67 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf76…dfcbbacked No74c261.19$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes33c261$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.084582.2%37 W · 8 L+10.2wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+39.7%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes30c259.49$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.332065%13 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+100.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea81…0c04backed No77c243$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes36c239.86$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.4399435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.224522.2%10 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No9c219.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.78812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-82.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes30c211.8$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.811346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No31c210.31$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1514645.9%67 W · 79 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Yes65c208.37$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes23c207$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3960648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1445366%35 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1462080%16 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+45.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1464070%28 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1446858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1464866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked No74c200$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No73c199.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.995149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes28c185.71$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.719440.4%38 W · 56 L+8.7wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.192638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.573125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes37c178.11$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6112668.3%86 W · 40 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes28c172$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.845543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No73c163$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.992766.7%18 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No73c156$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.882650%13 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.