TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x674b…8284

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-46.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$127.54
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$408
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$615
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$303
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$108
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked BORRACHEIROS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,300
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$343
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$162.74
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$421.1
Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$152.67
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$207
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$178.67
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$207.49
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$254
Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$165.84
RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+124.1%+$140.21
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$132.32
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$338
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$722.33
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$177.07
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$104.08
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$116.18
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$457
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$88
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.63
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$475
All 5 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$689
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+125.8%+$811.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$95.7
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$421
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$643.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+125.6%+$511.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$308
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.