TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,074
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,002

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,074 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under21c26,901$5,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,703.712835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Over67c15,866$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,265.61540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+72.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under29c7,903$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2574,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over72c7,895$5,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,193.2483444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under33c7,696$2,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,532.5499933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under27c7,296$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.17825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-58.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over80c5,301$4,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.12161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7809…9b42backed Over69c4,002$2,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6405554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under33c3,626$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.031,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over66c3,508$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.6944039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under32c3,259$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.2111342.5%48 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.918046.7%84 W · 96 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under33c2,865$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.6164457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under33c2,638$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.3168450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over78c2,418$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.473,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Over61c2,131$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.152962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over74c2,084$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.883764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7209147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over58c1,750$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.492941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fae…b849backed Over66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.155100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+103.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under34c1,514$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.4412546.4%58 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over77c1,373$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.621,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over66c1,295$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.45966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9be0…b5fdbacked Over62c1,213$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under33c1,188$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.51,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34075451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34069750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under33c970.42$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.292,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over68c916.74$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.6123232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over75c911.08$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.7741751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over76c888.9$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.6757139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under2c762.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.25742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over75c741.99$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.3815540.6%63 W · 92 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under42c708.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under34c700.9$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.3111822.9%27 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over80c694.12$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2913642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over66c626.48$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21315051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under32c624.35$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.641947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x674b…8284backed Under34c608.82$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Under17c590.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over65c575.13$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.131450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb2…fedbbacked Under44c553.68$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over77c514.23$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.897238.9%28 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under33c512$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9612460.5%75 W · 49 L+12.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under35c502.67$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.1733544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17042458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under33c499.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e45…b092backed Over66c465.15$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.15475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+57.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under43c463.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c99…8b23backed Over74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.412080%16 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1363354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under28c395.74$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4911154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Under36c350$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66b…1435backed Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.03850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf9…d602backed Over66c285$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under34c273.82$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7414525.5%37 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over74c270.1$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.21850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+171.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Under22c227.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over64c227.03$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7640239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over58c217.01$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.882065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under34c215.54$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.411251.8%58 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over66c198.47$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4619632.7%64 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed Under27c184.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.571855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under35c178$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6615660.9%95 W · 61 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Over61c170$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.34100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb511…e800backed Under35c154.29$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa114…22c6backed Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1429…1cd8backed Over66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over67c142.68$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4510445.2%47 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under27c139$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9783939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd18a…3ae9backed Over67c134.33$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.33850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f5…9bcfbacked Over76c126.29$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under34c122.82$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2645450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Over66c111.9$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.051353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4726…ff2bbacked Under37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Under34c107.88$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.684148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed Over70c107.66$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.662070%14 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310270.6%72 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3316342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under21c97.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.931,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under35c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.791827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over66c80.3$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.33256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under34c78.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.576645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under27c78.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.431163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0962…6e40backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6314852.7%78 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d41…6a2ebacked Under27c74.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.04540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under34c61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7645841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over63c61$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.657842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3950…0d49backed Under21c56.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Under30c55.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.911250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under34c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.732645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under35c51.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183050%15 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Under35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bab…c45ebacked Over71c49.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.