La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8f5c26ad773c039572a6855a6d18c8cdbd993191ecbba16039604837a112a39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 2,774$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.24 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…65efbacked Over | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 1,592$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.51 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Over | 54c | 1,484$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.56 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 24c | 1,350$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.75 | 250 | 33.6%84 W · 166 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 1,165$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.88 | 653 | 56.5%369 W · 284 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 843.25$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.83 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 11c | 802.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…5390backed Over | 45c | 732.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under | 10c | 694.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 45c | 643.43$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.89 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Under | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 55c | 499.2$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.56 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 13c | 458.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.62 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 46c | 260.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.59 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 56c | 197.93$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 55c | 175.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 56c | 149.67$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed Over | 70c | 143.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 69c | 134.51$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af8…0f85backed Over | 63c | 130.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 12c | 119.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 112.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 448 | 40.4%181 W · 267 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb18…6f32backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 44c | 105.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 45c | 95.53$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 205 | 33.7%69 W · 136 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Over | 31c | 86.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 46c | 84.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 37c | 83.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 57c | 73.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 30c | 61.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 445 | 24.3%108 W · 337 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 20c | 54.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 45c | 50.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 56c | 47.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 64c | 33.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ab…c326backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 159 | 61.6%98 W · 61 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 67c | 25.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Over | 55c | 22.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 64c | 21.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: Elche CF O/U 0.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: Elche CF O/U 1.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: Elche CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 0.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.