TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,385
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,385 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under25c1,535$386 inLost-$385.571,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over72c1,112$801 inWon+$311.3112948.8%63 W · 66 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under27c797.95$218 inLost-$218.4999933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under27c647.14$175 inLost-$174.7348153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under28c638.63$179 inLost-$178.8264457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf1c…98e8backed Over68c525.75$358 inWon+$168.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa37d…0c67backed Over73c432.43$315 inWon+$117.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over72c400$288 inWon+$11242458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under28c381.17$106 inLost-$106.121,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over77c365.14$282 inWon+$83.523232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Over72c347.22$250 inWon+$97.221656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c301$96 inLost-$96.324,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under27c241.92$65 inLost-$65.3214525.5%37 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over72c231.47$167 inWon+$64.8119632.7%64 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed Over73c205.93$150 inWon+$55.931675%12 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over73c182.13$133 inWon+$49.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under29c136$40 inLost-$401662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under33c126.3$42 inLost-$41.6840239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over72c111.11$80 inWon+$31.1114852.7%78 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2440…042dbacked Over72c109.31$79 inWon+$30.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Over73c75.34$55 inWon+$20.341250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over72c69.44$50 inWon+$19.441573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over73c68.49$50 inWon+$18.493278.1%25 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4c…6047backed Over72c68.42$49 inWon+$19.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfc4…3b73backed Over73c54.79$40 inWon+$14.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under28c40$11 inLost-$11.26767.2%45 W · 22 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over76c30$23 inWon+$7.37263.9%46 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bab…c45ebacked Over73c28.03$20 inWon+$7.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over72c27$19 inWon+$7.565100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over72c25$18 inWon+$710347.6%49 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc70b…6cebbacked Over72c21.57$16 inWon+$6.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31df…a49ebacked Over72c20.83$15 inWon+$5.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5419…e3d2backed Over72c20.83$15 inWon+$5.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Over75c20$15 inWon+$52147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x299b…2fb4backed Over72c16.38$12 inWon+$4.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.