TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,726 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c1,840$1,348 inWon+$491.864,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under66c1,805$1,200 inWon+$604.611030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-55.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over34c1,805$605 inLost-$604.611450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over22c1,541$344 inLost-$343.713,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over20c1,100$220 inLost-$2202828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over21c585.86$121 inLost-$121.3323232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under80c516$413 inWon+$103.212460.5%75 W · 49 L+12.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under80c430.9$345 inWon+$86.181,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Under80c375$300 inWon+$755100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over20c250$50 inLost-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Under71c88.73$63 inWon+$25.733100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over29c51.72$15 inLost-$151050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed Under70c40$28 inWon+$121855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under78c28.79$22 inWon+$6.4127758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under80c23.69$19 inWon+$4.741,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under76c22.53$17 inWon+$5.4161657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under70c15$11 inWon+$4.57238.9%28 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.