TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,631

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,584 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under43c36,903$15,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,998.442835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over24c22,583$5,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,275.314,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over56c11,394$6,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,013.442450%12 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over57c7,695$4,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,289.781,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over17c4,875$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,039.0883444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over52c4,001$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.452161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,660$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.66839.7%27 W · 41 L+12.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+118.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Under2c2,699$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-60.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over54c2,644$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.741450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over53c2,577$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.4415540.6%63 W · 92 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under28c2,571$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.1315036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over54c2,209$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.261136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over6c2,204$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.560832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…abb2backed Over66c2,156$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under42c1,894$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.26825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-58.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over56c1,818$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.011233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over53c1,734$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.110445.2%47 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over15c1,567$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.5461657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over53c1,501$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.4641751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over53c1,415$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67113642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over16c1,401$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.9157139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over7c1,275$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.01837.5%3 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick9cpaid+303.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc236…e3d3backed Under49c1,204$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under44c1,190$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.071947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over30c1,043$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.8123232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-55.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over24c999.96$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.9711822.9%27 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over57c883.17$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.173764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under34c816.89$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.6211342.5%48 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over65c766.22$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.35540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-40.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over56c712.97$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.71742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over12c680$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.133544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Over57c614.04$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over31c556.9$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.553,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over71c530.25$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.781833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over53c516.5$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.017238.9%28 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under37c515.23$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1840239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Over49c475.55$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.381353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under76c437.71$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.662958.6%17 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over22c436.02$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.8810350.5%52 W · 51 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under72c418.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under53c407.76$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.7411542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under43c402.69$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1721637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over53c380$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.62850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1428446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over51c347.92$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.483237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under22c227.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5121139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9152…abfbbacked Under74c194.8$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.15728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick65cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over17c184.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.46742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under62c160.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8911253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12019461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under73c146$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc2…077bbacked Over55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under26c143.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3183939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c4…1b3cbacked Under79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Under36c123.93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.61850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+171.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over26c121.92$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.225131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under36c117$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.74951%25 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under29c115.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over20c110.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.71957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c107.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.231,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over56c105$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3210347.6%49 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Over25c104$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed Over34c101.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.381855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under53c90.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6299933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc11c…b9b2backed Over25c83.31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.317100%7 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+107.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8210…1942backed Under43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e99…5329backed Over26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.92333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over25c76.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9144039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over27c70.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.673548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under23c69.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7120050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Over29c69.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+89.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Over22c65.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.244461.4%27 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed Under77c65.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over36c65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8115660.9%95 W · 61 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under26c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.45547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over79c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.392934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed Under45c58.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed Under45c58.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-45.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under62c56.07$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6427758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Over63c55.58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Over72c55.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Under48c53.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.59850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under75c50.2$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.531,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.58647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f79…0307backed Under76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over58c46.35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4718842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under53c46.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3111251.8%58 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under42c45.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.477842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc357…3684backed Over59c40.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.47666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under76c39.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1564457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x862f…200bbacked Under76c39.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301090%9 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick76cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c86…a7a3backed Under77c38.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-41.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb0b…4817backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7f…4b4abacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.365100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc28c…6fb2backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.363554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.