TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0bc2…077b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
273
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT17845.5%81 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 178 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$619.95
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$132.5
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.76
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$519.97
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$159.21
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$417.5
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$313.6
France vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$601.19
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$696
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$333.23
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$730
England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.56
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.66
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$702.7
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$619.98
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$87.34
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$429.99
France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$900.82
France vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$869.87
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Showing 25 of 178 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT8450%42 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.67
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+65%+$212.8
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$739.99
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$210
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$910
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$330
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$579.99
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$609.97
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+141%+$1,169.98
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$760.47
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$910
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+132.3%+$458.41
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,325Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$675
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$600
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$719.99
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.