Commodities · resolved market
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2e24e71a5e4fba67cd3fe67197269ad6a7f0be128b37fa088683d24d25372ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Downof Up, Down
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b08…bb8ebacked Up | 43c | 23,805$10,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,326.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Down | 44c | 16,287$7,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,146.76 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Up | 45c | 14,045$6,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,280.06 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Down | 56c | 13,705$7,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,989.74 | 1,265 | 24.5%310 W · 955 L | -56.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Up | 47c | 13,000$6,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,162 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Up | 15c | 11,855$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…d64dbacked Down | 45c | 11,569$5,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,313.12 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Up | 56c | 7,518$4,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,206.56 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…0015backed Up | 6c | 6,643$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Up | 11c | 5,605$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.09 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Up | 35c | 4,708$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.46 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f3…d803backed Up | 18c | 4,300$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…4d5ebacked Up | 18c | 3,345$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.84 | 151 | 21.2%32 W · 119 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1b…63ddbacked Up | 4c | 3,160$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Up | 50c | 3,007$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Up | 3c | 2,838$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 120 | 11.7%14 W · 106 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…adf7backed Up | 35c | 2,803$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.17 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…5c93backed Up | 42c | 2,727$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…288cbacked Down | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Up | 12c | 2,166$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.94 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed Up | 56c | 2,095$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.76 | 161 | 37.9%61 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Up | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed Up | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7183…a24abacked Up | 41c | 1,915$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked Up | 34c | 1,871$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.3 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Up | 51c | 1,831$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3a…e29abacked Up | 12c | 1,816$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…666fbacked Up | 45c | 1,658$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6aac…9603backed Up | 27c | 1,534$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.51 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Down | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Up | 40c | 1,463$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.88 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…843ebacked Up | 8c | 1,339$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6952…40d8backed Up | 45c | 1,304$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5f…4252backed Up | 4c | 1,282$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e0…d772backed Down | 63c | 1,280$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Up | 41c | 1,222$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.27 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…2261backed Up | 6c | 1,216$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5b…dca3backed Up | 4c | 1,168$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Up | 8c | 1,117$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…0a9cbacked Up | 4c | 1,108$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…befcbacked Up | 51c | 1,084$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Down | 66c | 1,054$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.35 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…224abacked Up | 7c | 1,042$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Down | 68c | 1,036$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…45a6backed Up | 3c | 1,034$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…a56dbacked Up | 51c | 1,018$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…201abacked Up | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked Up | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8019…d74dbacked Up | 10c | 999.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Up | 26c | 913.89$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.39 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked Up | 5c | 900$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Down | 57c | 842.27$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.34 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f3…3a31backed Up | 38c | 841.33$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Up | 25c | 832.66$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.92 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb09…738dbacked Up | 56c | 815$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d9…89febacked Up | 13c | 811.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde03…e629backed Up | 51c | 786.89$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bf…23f6backed Up | 38c | 739.64$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a25…30eebacked Up | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Up | 29c | 698.16$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a9…c455backed Up | 36c | 659.07$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.19 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…0458backed Up | 52c | 606.59$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.75 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa133…b362backed Up | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Up | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +11.0wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +159.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Up | 19c | 599.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…1db9backed Up | 2c | 580.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…f559backed Up | 58c | 576.51$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.03 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ea…464cbacked Up | 53c | 571$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8b…f02fbacked Up | 33c | 541.07$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb937…e990backed Up | 42c | 500$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d10…3bddbacked Up | 13c | 500$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…044cbacked Up | 23c | 500$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…fb47backed Up | 23c | 490.47$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe2…8c49backed Up | 37c | 481.79$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4a…8a46backed Up | 43c | 466.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…ea6fbacked Up | 44c | 408.7$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.83 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…20b3backed Up | 59c | 400.56$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.33 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Up | 18c | 399.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e9…e9afbacked Up | 38c | 399.69$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…e2afbacked Up | 36c | 397.92$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.61 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…4344backed Up | 29c | 385$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…3c34backed Up | 29c | 382.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe138…1d84backed Up | 3c | 374.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…b0cabacked Down | 53c | 373.08$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5d…31b9backed Up | 57c | 371$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…2aa5backed Up | 14c | 359.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f4…6a70backed Up | 30c | 356.41$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Up | 10c | 353.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662d…9d7cbacked Up | 9c | 340.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Up | 13c | 329.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Down | 52c | 323.68$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.87 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd640…480cbacked Up | 4c | 317.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…d463backed Up | 4c | 310.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc044…2d08backed Up | 28c | 305.56$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Up | 49c | 303.43$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Up | 7c | 302.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc23…64ebbacked Up | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb716…f61cbacked Up | 47c | 300$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa561…f676backed Up | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Down | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.