TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05dd…e2af

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
193
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT14143.3%61 W · 80 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 141 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 20?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+222.7%+$48.5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.96
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 19?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.96
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 19?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$74.4
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 18?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.39
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.67
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,371.8
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.61
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.55
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 29?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$58.08
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 24?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 20?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 20?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$639.35
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+167.7%+$144.61
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 16?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$165.77
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.1
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 16?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.25
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 15?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,399
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 15?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$823.37
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 15?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.71
Showing 25 of 141 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$391.88
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.07
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$970.74
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$122.4
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,764Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,763.81
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,552.8
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$560
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,505Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$995
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+193.4%+$937.55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,295Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+25.8%+$334.46
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$280
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$264
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$48
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+37.5%+$122.31
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT9100%9 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$517
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$334.98
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$345
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+108.3%+$62.39
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+47.5%+$318.49
Will Valencia win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+30.4%+$34.84
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25.4%+$71
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+29%+$116.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17,029.46
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+69.5%+$410
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$354.24
Jets vs. Canadiensbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Stars vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$56
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$572
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$330
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$115
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$444
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$8,858Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$8,858.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$19.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.