TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,958 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes21c8,322$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.0534534.5%119 W · 226 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6a2…c9b7backed No52c6,193$3,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,990.641643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf539…9483backed Yes3c3,654$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed No75c1,679$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.53447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+348.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9afc…314bbacked Yes2c1,446$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.47230%0 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes56c1,286$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.7693840.2%377 W · 561 L-69.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52ca…523fbacked Yes76c1,122$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.581275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa254…8d57backed Yes11c1,047$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.97425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes19c925.15$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3335334%120 W · 233 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72cb…5962backed Yes67c917.77$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.9610148.5%49 W · 52 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa53b…4021backed Yes14c875.29$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5429747.5%141 W · 156 L+34.9wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+30.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf940…3239backed No24c833.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.332528%7 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Yes13c704.11$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2730534.8%106 W · 199 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd133…ef27backed Yes15c699.26$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.09812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-78.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes30c683.67$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.841,27724.3%310 W · 967 L-58.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes79c628.33$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.1419535.4%69 W · 126 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1da8…aa05backed Yes68c589.18$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+61.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes2c535.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.552934.1%12 W · 281 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…3ec3backed No47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26529264%187 W · 105 L+47.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+41.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2651…3471backed Yes43c480.69$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9330443.4%132 W · 172 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes11c420.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.511,0309.2%95 W · 935 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-55.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes25c404$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.274820.8%10 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda5…e16dbacked Yes20c396.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6212538.4%48 W · 77 L+11.5wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec4d…be21backed Yes27c386.32$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.31714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-72.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19ee…5394backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05dd…e2afbacked Yes42c324.36$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6714143.3%61 W · 80 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes31c299.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.516050.6%81 W · 79 L+13.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1aa1…9345backed Yes13c269.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4867…a6f8backed Yes8c232.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.189758.8%57 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc15…cca6backed Yes25c229.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.12445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes55c223$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.761,04834.5%362 W · 686 L-94.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5226…8554backed No13c213$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.516267.7%42 W · 20 L+13.6wins+0.22per pick46cpaid+51.6%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x929f…9aa1backed Yes13c207.13$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7450%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f3…844ebacked Yes24c202.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.630738.8%119 W · 188 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74b4…6beabacked No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7ef…812cbacked Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked No73c198.52$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.61735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f84…b4c4backed Yes22c197$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.472751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes10c196.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0214031.4%44 W · 96 L-0.6wins0.00per pick32cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782f…bda7backed No14c178.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+94%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4394…3055backed Yes8c157.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes22c150$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.52748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes46c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.253228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5154…a301backed Yes18c148.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.378955.1%49 W · 40 L+13.2wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+47.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe134…b4a7backed Yes34c147$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9840%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes18c143.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.323323.6%55 W · 178 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes25c142$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.57832.1%25 W · 53 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x37a2…775dbacked Yes20c139$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb453…bed9backed Yes28c125$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fb…8eb0backed Yes79c120$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.81040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-38.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f6c…e2d8backed Yes80c112.66$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3a…f5dbbacked Yes23c104.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.082020%4 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes30c102.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.868051.3%41 W · 39 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8d8…31f1backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1240%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf864…7fb5backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb69…361ebacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+94.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf98…4461backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad44…9d5cbacked Yes78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49f4…a7c9backed No27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes76c95$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.24443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc53…470bbacked Yes12c91.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+58.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb84c…e169backed Yes26c84.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.46529.2%19 W · 46 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41e6…66b7backed Yes25c74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.323655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e15…a0eebacked No65c73.85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.851250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x403f…94f1backed Yes48c68.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.320443.6%89 W · 115 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…ea5cbacked No65c53.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.552560%15 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.55028%14 W · 36 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe550…6f6ebacked Yes58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8350%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadb6…5875backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107763.6%49 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x134e…d718backed No70c49.93$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.933971.8%28 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90b5…5550backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8507…023cbacked No55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9181…64acbacked Yes35c34.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.921050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes80c30.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.44979.3%9 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed Yes34c30.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.356155.7%34 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8110…fd53backed No79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c7b…0f76backed No74c25.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x952d…ab8abacked Yes77c21.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd10a…b9cdbacked Yes63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53f8…5ce0backed No79c12.82$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.69977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.