Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35380c09fef1d77965ef5df4e7c48ce823884f310f0d8418bb2bc8b6e6a86298
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc97b…47e5backed No | 75c | 27,926$20,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,987.91 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 25c | 22,715$5,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,686.43 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…8e47backed No | 78c | 6,704$5,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.82 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 73c | 5,851$4,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.03 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Yes | 23c | 5,508$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.64 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked No | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…812cbacked Yes | 39c | 2,340$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.72 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 42c | 1,588$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.1 | 294 | 47.3%139 W · 155 L | +34.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 48c | 1,358$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.39 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,096$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.12 | 304 | 38.8%118 W · 186 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,087$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…ae24backed Yes | 18c | 1,029$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.05 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…c9b7backed No | 68c | 1,027$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…f459backed Yes | 51c | 896.1$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed No | 74c | 584.17$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 16c | 569.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 1,265 | 24.5%310 W · 955 L | -56.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed No | 73c | 564.01$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.24 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…be21backed Yes | 34c | 531.56$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes | 26c | 528$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed No | 77c | 518.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.01 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 47c | 490.12$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.43 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 449.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…94f1backed Yes | 39c | 434.8$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.67 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 34c | 383.58$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.69 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -18.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1da8…aa05backed No | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 47c | 364$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.72 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 339.59$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 23c | 330.61$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df8…8e9dbacked Yes | 27c | 330$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 12c | 314.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.58 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +98%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…c177backed Yes | 38c | 301.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 28c | 287.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…bd9cbacked Yes | 35c | 285$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x929f…9aa1backed Yes | 16c | 268.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 75c | 248.32$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 27c | 244.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Yes | 59c | 236.85$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…b4a7backed Yes | 59c | 221.54$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked Yes | 18c | 213.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 26c | 203.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 184 | 40.2%74 W · 110 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…052abacked Yes | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +167.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce2…de8bbacked Yes | 26c | 198.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 27c | 183.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…1620backed No | 72c | 176$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…3d03backed Yes | 25c | 173.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb5…4d50backed Yes | 56c | 162.16$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked No | 71c | 152$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 41c | 145.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 47c | 125.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…a301backed Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +13.2wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 12c | 103.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…719abacked No | 43c | 102$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…31f1backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…5bd4backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +149.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf98…4461backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f3…c13cbacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…7325backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed Yes | 28c | 88.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Yes | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…9345backed No | 65c | 83.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f84…b4c4backed Yes | 21c | 82.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf646…79dbbacked Yes | 54c | 78.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 51c | 78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ead…f333backed Yes | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed Yes | 28c | 71.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5ff6backed No | 56c | 66.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 53c | 62.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 1,045 | 34.6%362 W · 683 L | -93.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ec11backed Yes | 65c | 61.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ed…7ee9backed Yes | 50c | 58.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…1a5abacked No | 79c | 57.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed No | 37c | 56.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…d7d8backed No | 35c | 53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…9c25backed No | 76c | 51.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 50.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…1b3dbacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…5b5fbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa583…0695backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6159backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8a…5d15backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…9065backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +184%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd83f…03b1backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 66c | 49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 63c | 48.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058b…8481backed No | 44c | 45.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…2520backed Yes | 61c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d75…4e46backed No | 78c | 40.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…a5f9backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 55c | 37.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…d279backed Yes | 67c | 35.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked No | 57c | 35.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Yes | 57c | 34.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…e9b8backed Yes | 50c | 27.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134e…d718backed No | 77c | 25.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ce…2fa6backed No | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?this page
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 in July?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in July?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $44 in July?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in July?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in July?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.