TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2131…7325

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$38
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$322
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.59
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$104.77
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.91
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$145.85
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$82
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$159.41
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$79
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+141%+$234
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.38per pick46cpaid-77.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.11
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.7
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$315
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.87
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falcons Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.92
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.77
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$280
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.63
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.30per pick39cpaid-80.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.99
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.55
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Canada be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spain to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$395
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Valorant: Team Vitality vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
Valorant: Team Vitality vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$285
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$55.48
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Dynamo Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.92
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$20.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+57.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
All 6 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Firebacked Supah Hot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.96
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menerybacked Manziel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)backed SS Lazio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.