AI · resolved market
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cede4a2937c7faf2f631ef56a963c554bca5fc1343460d1fd5898cc57e33bfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb09c…0b38backed No | 0c | 7,320$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 16c | 6,648$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.23 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes | 73c | 4,768$3,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 25c | 4,517$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.43 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 25c | 1,513$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.71 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 18c | 1,476$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.81 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 72c | 1,360$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.92 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed No | 15c | 1,301$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.67 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +13.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 5c | 1,210$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 76c | 1,117$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.63 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 16c | 1,074$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.81 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 12c | 996.78$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d1…a073backed No | 10c | 988.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 20c | 876.06$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.8 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 33c | 862.69$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.3 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ae…4cf1backed No | 3c | 788.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…e623backed Yes | 55c | 694.04$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.33 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…e658backed Yes | 72c | 691.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 24c | 658.52$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.47 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed Yes | 78c | 640$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…dc8dbacked No | 28c | 587.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.86 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…86c3backed Yes | 79c | 547.22$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 15c | 542.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.29 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 22c | 524.46$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…e15abacked Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 5c | 491.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked No | 2c | 476.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…3a36backed Yes | 80c | 440$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 19c | 429.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 408.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…382cbacked Yes | 67c | 402.14$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.71 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 23c | 385.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 6c | 380$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x936a…7a5abacked Yes | 70c | 351.68$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 32c | 301.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 75c | 299.79$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb237…bad8backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 14c | 290.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…d8f1backed Yes | 75c | 268.39$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…914bbacked Yes | 80c | 260$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3564…5cffbacked Yes | 62c | 229.78$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dba…d397backed No | 15c | 226.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 16c | 226.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 144 | 23.6%34 W · 110 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed1…a782backed No | 28c | 220$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…23a0backed No | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…af52backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 13c | 188.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abd…5f44backed No | 41c | 187.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 32c | 179.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca88…efb2backed Yes | 73c | 149.51$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…b613backed No | 24c | 148.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb017…45f7backed Yes | 67c | 148.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 16c | 132.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -11.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 18c | 118.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 10c | 104$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0551…3d39backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…44e3backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef08…e9adbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb25…3c61backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked No | 12c | 98.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2,281.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…4682backed Yes | 63c | 96.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 18c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 33c | 85.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…31c9backed Yes | 70c | 84.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 13c | 84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -13.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x132d…b771backed No | 13c | 82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 15c | 77.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 17c | 75.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6078…dbaebacked Yes | 56c | 73.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb060…9572backed Yes | 79c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 19c | 63.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…91cdbacked Yes | 80c | 62.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 26c | 57.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…8292backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…c179backed Yes | 76c | 47.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…7325backed Yes | 59c | 44.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…ec28backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 35c | 41.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…3fd3backed Yes | 74c | 37.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…cf85backed No | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf567…690abacked Yes | 67c | 29.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…eef4backed Yes | 67c | 29.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x643a…b5e1backed Yes | 77c | 28.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…c712backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…8f48backed Yes | 78c | 25.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e8c1backed Yes | 69c | 25.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…994cbacked Yes | 77c | 24.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…2fc1backed Yes | 79c | 24.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.38per pick | 51cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x998e…dd27backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d4…a363backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…cd5ebacked Yes | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435b…e12fbacked Yes | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…7bb2backed Yes | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?this page
- Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
- Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.