TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x936a…7a5a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+49%+$39.48
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$57.41
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82.12
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$103.53
Will there be no next Transport Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.05
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.72
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$435.37
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$153.53
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.31
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$73.07
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+157.7%+$123.67
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+152.1%+$836.1
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$186.4
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+162.5%+$32.19
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$84.03
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$96.6
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.99
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$78.38
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-53.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$604.74
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.88
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$867Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$866.65
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,957Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+130.9%+$2,561.87
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+197.7%+$1,033.3
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$641.05
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.87
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.06
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,275.49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.61
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$24.8
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$827Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$827.17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$393
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$173.1
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$835Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$834.61
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.5
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,075Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$504.3
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,968Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$636.3
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.65
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+184.3%+$545.65
Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$57.75
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$75.99
World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?backed Made · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-44.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,152.76
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$847Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$847
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$319.72
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$839.63
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.45
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$169.91
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.16
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.32
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$50.15
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.04
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$106.6
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$85
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 27–May 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-60.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$39.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.