Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x684d40a53315c9db4564f3cbb2bc1451086a29a00c2682ef87b2b004765e145a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 47c | 4,263$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.22 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc93f…445dbacked No | 3c | 2,242$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…7d26backed No | 14c | 1,836$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc984…37cabacked No | 72c | 1,818$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.23 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,747$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.93 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 21c | 1,635$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.57 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 8c | 1,556$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef73…c3c7backed No | 66c | 1,512$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Yes | 34c | 1,390$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 49c | 1,162$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.51 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea9…1651backed No | 18c | 1,040$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…af89backed No | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…4546backed No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 3c | 937.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…886ebacked No | 64c | 780.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…450bbacked Yes | 52c | 710.71$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.06 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda7…7b78backed No | 2c | 692.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb977…3158backed No | 3c | 676.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…3a92backed Yes | 57c | 655.99$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.32 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…a6cbbacked No | 7c | 586.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked No | 3c | 566.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…e9fabacked No | 11c | 500.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ab…42a1backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 2c | 499.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…4569backed No | 52c | 488.13$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.86 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1666…fe57backed No | 3c | 466.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…35e6backed Yes | 57c | 458.67$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.72 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x857c…d97ebacked No | 24c | 436.64$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5709…22c3backed Yes | 36c | 433.8$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.13 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 52c | 413.12$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.49 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…24e0backed No | 6c | 366.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x673f…7388backed No | 3c | 366.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…6800backed No | 27c | 364.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a1…5645backed Yes | 70c | 354.29$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes | 33c | 349$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked No | 29c | 341.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed No | 61c | 335.51$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.53 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 75c | 310$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 40c | 308.45$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.74 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x936a…7a5abacked No | 64c | 300$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…7e38backed No | 72c | 299.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffb…4966backed Yes | 28c | 299.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…7cd3backed No | 66c | 292.67$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.39 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 61c | 289.87$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4af2…3e4ebacked Yes | 33c | 271.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.62 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 269.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…7822backed Yes | 72c | 264.1$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…cb34backed Yes | 38c | 260$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 71c | 257$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.9 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe329…f209backed No | 4c | 250.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed No | 24c | 250.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 61c | 250$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6f…e536backed No | 4c | 241.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 39c | 231.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.96 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Yes | 35c | 209$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.75 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 71c | 206.82$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…b875backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 80c | 190.47$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…a1ddbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +53%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…d6d9backed No | 58c | 171.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked No | 72c | 170.83$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…1e30backed No | 72c | 169.44$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 73c | 165.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 76c | 163.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 33c | 154.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.66 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 146$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.17 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…c783backed No | 21c | 142.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 36c | 138.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 122 | 25.4%31 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef95…88c0backed Yes | 37c | 136.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…8f74backed Yes | 39c | 128.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfc…678ebacked No | 23c | 128.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703d…80f6backed No | 28c | 126.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b0…0027backed No | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 37c | 118.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 36c | 105$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b9…ded7backed Yes | 74c | 91.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 35c | 90.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc042…77bcbacked Yes | 42c | 89.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa08c…dc50backed Yes | 80c | 81.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…e196backed No | 78c | 80.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Yes | 35c | 79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x635e…1f63backed Yes | 34c | 78.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 50c | 76.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 23c | 73.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed Yes | 34c | 73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…75a4backed No | 23c | 72.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…9ef8backed No | 71c | 61.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 26c | 61.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked No | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…398bbacked No | 52c | 57.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed Yes | 30c | 57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeec9…be9dbacked No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?this page
- Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?No won
- Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by February 28?No won
- Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?No won
- Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.