TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeca0…e8f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,964
Categories scored
45
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 62 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT34143.4%148 W · 193 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 341 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$972
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.73
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.41
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+900%+$225
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.1
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$152.5
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,504.65
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.88
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$899Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$551.5
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.43
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.57
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.96
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$27.74
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+720.2%+$263.43
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$166.22
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.72
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.78
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,034.37
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.75
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.95
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$443
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.81
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.49
Showing 25 of 341 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT15448.7%75 W · 79 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 154 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$78.85
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$81.92
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.09
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 54 million and 58 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,563Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,563.25
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+497.9%+$3,331
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$24.53
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.2
Will a Goal be Scored During 16-30 Minute?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$48
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,269Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+229.8%+$2,915
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,105.45
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+205.3%+$201.75
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$852.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will the World Cup Final national anthem last between 130 and 140 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$38.4
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$124
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,357.73
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$136.64
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$345
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.5
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.75
Showing 25 of 154 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT13343.6%58 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.14
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+260%+$288.88
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$149.61
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.03
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.52
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$131.02
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+60%+$75
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.14
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+581.5%+$426.63
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,661Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$682.22
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.99
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.1
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$311.19
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.1
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.52
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.94
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$240.2
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+192%+$657.5
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$3,666.75
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+141.4%+$878.75
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,062.7
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$200.63
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.59
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
Us Politicslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT13341.4%55 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.01
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$30.81
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.58
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$187.1
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$227.45
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.96
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.94
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.01
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$314.14
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.64
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,870Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+153.5%+$5,941.34
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+2,330.6%+$466.11
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,914Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+87.5%+$2,548.81
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$437.94
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$136.05
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+70%+$453.46
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+75%+$150.06
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$130
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+55%+$319.2
Will the Sanctioning Russia Act of 2025 (S.1241) be signed into law by December 31 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Trump appoints special prosecutor for Epstein case in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$138
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT11741%48 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 117 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$104
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,059Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$701.25
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$135.99
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$561.8
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$99.39
Will Trump admin declassify foreign election interference files by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.02
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.69
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$96
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$197.7
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.66
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.55
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.7
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,089Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+225.2%+$4,705.13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+130.1%+$2,738.84
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,332Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+351%+$8,184.1
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.6
Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Germany join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,996.11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.22
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$50.75
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.6%+$99.92
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$156.27
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$178.07
Showing 25 of 117 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10348.5%50 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,252.34
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$842.07
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$109.5
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$288
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.99
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$75
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$84
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$73.5
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$224
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$192
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$360
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$424
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.3
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$65.92
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT8257.3%47 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$147.79
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.61
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.75
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$117.5
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.67
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$145.68
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$96.74
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.28
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,285
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,656Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$519.89
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$433.52
Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$137.7
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$213
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,241Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$1,058.54
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$65.01
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,371Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$772.46
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$823Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$581.52
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$554.07
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$118.9
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.01
Will Apple announce an AI-charged Siri during the WWDC 2026 keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.04
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT8048.8%39 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: SEA (-2.5)backed SEA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+128.4%+$328.62
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$86.27
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$87
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.4%+$147.36
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will NE/LAR win their 2026 NFL Conference Championship games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$2,342.34
Will NE/SEA win their 2026 NFL Conference Championship games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+37%+$81
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Will DEN/SEA/NE/LAR win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+132.6%+$114
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$66.25
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$156
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$82.5
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$48
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$51.75
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$66.25
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$67.5
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT7860.3%47 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$68.86
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$91.55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16,761Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,760.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$731Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$477.58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$180.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.93
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+195.9%+$38.64
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.3
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$118.96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24,275Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$9,804.08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+242%+$70.41
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,381.2
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.18
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.34
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.98
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.53
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6852.9%36 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$182
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$75.98
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$64
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$48.3
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$116
Hanfmann vs. Baez: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.99
Swiss Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$630
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$64.5
Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)backed Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Arthur Fery vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$146.99
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Safiullin (+1.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Giron (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$135.05
Wimbledon WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT5944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Spread: SV 07 Elversberg (-1.5)backed SV 07 Elversberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$66.25
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$111
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.99
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.5
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$75.12
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.94
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$80.98
SV Werder Bremen vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$45.08
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.45
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$141.89
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$160
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.5
FC Schalke 04 vs. Karlsruher SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.99
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+185.5%+$97.76
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT5042%21 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$60.1
Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$126.92
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.42
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.51
Will Margot Robbie attend the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.04
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.9
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40%+$57.22
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.66
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$299.3
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$120
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.97
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$74.24
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$114
Will Kate Hudson be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$64.75
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$62.8
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.8%+$36.24
Will Delroy Lindo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$77.7
Will Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.01
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$156.6
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.95
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$84.63
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT4748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$62.59
Will Robin Peguero be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$78.68
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.32
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+532.2%+$183.65
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.17
Will Joy Powers be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+60%+$374.83
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,287.75
Will Amish Shah be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$116.1
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.95
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.93
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.87
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$60.93
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,196
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$625.09
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$186.91
Will Jack Schlossberg be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.24
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.39
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.21
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$67.02
Will Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$317.41
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$199.35
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$949.99
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$83.33
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.72
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$139.19
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$136.56
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.99
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$388
Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$74.87
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$92.71
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.8%+$140
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$136
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$157.63
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+89.7%+$78.08
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+106.2%+$103
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$80.5
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$87.5
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+30.7%+$47
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$164
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+194.1%+$132
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$197
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$228
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.9%+$106
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT4540%18 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$928Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$833.92
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$132
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$109.99
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$341
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+192.6%+$48.14
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$63.99
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.95
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$102
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.01
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$65
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$134
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT4250%21 W · 21 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,883Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$1,913.82
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$475.5
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,378Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$673.58
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$300
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$286
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+361.7%+$126.7
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$48.8
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$180
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$273.82
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$7,768Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+106.5%+$8,271.78
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$89.61
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,871Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+159.4%+$9,356.41
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+253.6%+$301.23
Fed cuts 25 bps in March Odds >15% by February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$162
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$79.99
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+66.7%+$53.33
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+85.6%+$104.22
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,436.11
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$5,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$5,133.97
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.3% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+80.7%+$185.54
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70.6
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+89.8%+$47.3
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$102.5
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$84.77
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$52.67
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$342
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$175
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.57
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$104.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+117.4%+$32.4
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+244.8%+$71
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT3256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$978Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$978.36
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.56
Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.02
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+27.4%+$27.43
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$92.7
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$82.15
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+43.9%+$111.02
Will Trump say "Minnesota" or "ICE" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+143.9%+$59
Will Trump say "Doug" or "Burgum" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
Will Trump say "Gallon" or "Barrel" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+78%+$22.08
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+159.3%+$36.48
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54,402Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+45.4%+$24,721.79
Will Donald Trump say "Cilia" or "Flores" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$165
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$992.29
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$948Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+271%+$2,569.63
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,929Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+247.6%+$4,776.36
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+113.4%+$534.27
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,974Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,974.5
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+30.6%+$37.02
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship on December 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$35.44
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$12.12
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,833Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,832.65
Odds of Maduro out in 2025 Over 25% by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37.4%+$72.07
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+112.8%+$53
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Spread: Navy (-7.5)backed Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Rice vs. Texas State: O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35.98
Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.25
O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$97.93
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.5
O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$60
USC vs. TCU: O/U 56.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17.6
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40.5
O/U 59.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 58.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$24
Spread: North Texas (-6.5)backed North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Spread: BYU (-3.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5)backed Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-6.5)backed UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 61.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$27.6
Spread: Minnesota (-1.5)backed New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$61.25
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.15
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$144
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.24
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$76.5
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$69.99
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.71
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.5
World Championships: Denmark vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
World Championships: USA vs. Germanybacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$68.28
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.5
World Championships: Finland vs. USAbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$53.99
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Norwaybacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$408
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$61.25
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$352
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$205
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.75
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.25
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.88
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.69
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.99
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$78.34
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.9%+$83.2
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$101.42
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+733.3%+$115.73
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 22 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+107.5%+$107.54
Taylor Swift on top two spots of Billboard Hot 100 for Oct 25th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+41.6%+$60.13
Taylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+62.1%+$38.52
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2500000 and 2750000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have 1.5 Million Likes on Friday at Noon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+71.4%+$44.49
Will Drake donate to MrBeast's Team Water by August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+77.3%+$36.19
Will Innsbruck host Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.79
Will Vienna host Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.39
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.4
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+171.4%+$257.16
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$396.69
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,232Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38%+$467.81
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$148.44
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+31%+$307.56
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+91%+$238.53
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$486
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$153.65
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$325.28
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$343.02
Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$502.5
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.29
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $8.5B and $10.0B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.42
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be at least $10.0B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$18.33
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $7.0B and $8.5B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$608.9
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $5.5B and $7.0B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.17
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.18
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.34
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.8
All 25 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+60%+$193.23
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$136.22
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$97.94
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.39
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$261.69
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$43.6
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$27.33
Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$29.46
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$67.32
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$63.75
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will annual inflation increase by between 30% and 32.9% in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+226.3%+$49.69
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$61
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.61
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.74
All 24 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+44.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudovbacked Makhmudov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.49
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$355
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+69.8%+$259.04
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,126.35
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+64.3%+$7.71
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+96.8%+$147.76
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+44.8%+$92.95
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+73%+$253.95
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Tate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$2,999.14
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.94
Will Anthony Joshua win via Decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+1,569.4%+$188.33
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16.91
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.68
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+132.6%+$142.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+68.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Motherwell FC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$162
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.99
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+571.1%+$212.75
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+100%+$75
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+138.1%+$72.5
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$27
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)backed Olympique Lyonnais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.25
All 18 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LIV Golf merger/acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38%+$118.15
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$279
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Christopher Gotterup win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+383.1%+$317.2
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$75.2
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$140.12
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$33
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$55.49
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.75
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.26
AS Roma vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$56.25
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$39.1
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Pisa SC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$72.5
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$16.96
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.98
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$76.5
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.46
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$60
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$73.5
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$195.75
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-1.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.16
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-1.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$125.31
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-12.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.43
All 15 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+34.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+230.7%+$1,569.63
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.83
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+79%+$512.52
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$939Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$708.79
Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$17.3
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$163.89
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$32.74
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.94
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+153.4%+$121.06
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.09
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.66
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+57.3%+$91.03
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+95.6%+$48.77
All 14 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$185
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$265
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+167.4%+$313
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$195.24
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$335
Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$129
Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$88.22
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Women's Knockout - Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$103.5
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germanybacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$67.5
Men's Group C - USA vs. Germanybacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmarkbacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.8
Will the AQI at the World Cup final be 90 or higher?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$128.75
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150.07
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.85
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.49
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.9
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+98.1%+$25.79
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 83-84°F on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 79-80°F on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+64%+$156.06
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$57.49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$165
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$109.99
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$62.5
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$204
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Belal Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.99
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36
Will Trump attend UFC 322?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+26.9%+$106
Will Netflix acquire streaming rights to UFC next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.43
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$35.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$239
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.