Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0c6605b583595e3f1d722bd3c5be9fd33a9d31f39f8aeba1fca718e0e70bf8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 21c | 25,000$5,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,313.58 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed No | 45c | 19,925$8,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,931.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed No | 63c | 13,993$8,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,244.71 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 72c | 11,210$8,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 53c | 9,041$4,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,814.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b27…674fbacked Yes | 44c | 7,146$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a8…e61fbacked No | 47c | 6,920$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,662.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 51c | 6,632$3,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 78c | 4,353$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.26 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 57c | 3,791$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.92 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4e…1370backed No | 56c | 3,727$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 65c | 3,583$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.69 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed No | 52c | 3,258$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed No | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 59c | 2,973$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.41 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f8…c69ebacked Yes | 49c | 2,899$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 49c | 2,805$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.78 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +655.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 68c | 2,575$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.83 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 38c | 2,500$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.68 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked No | 47c | 2,070$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…f412backed Yes | 71c | 2,017$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 46c | 2,003$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.01 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 49c | 1,869$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.48 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440e…4907backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…976bbacked No | 44c | 1,740$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked No | 62c | 1,721$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,693$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…9106backed Yes | 64c | 1,592$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b36…473bbacked No | 72c | 1,574$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 38c | 1,445$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed Yes | 51c | 1,429$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.29 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ab…7cb0backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 58c | 1,188$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.09 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 58c | 1,127$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.53 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 57c | 1,084$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,083$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 54c | 1,082$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.8 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…e2febacked Yes | 9c | 1,075$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 37c | 1,016$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.23 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…c2acbacked Yes | 62c | 882$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 34c | 876.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.56 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…7181backed Yes | 60c | 833.62$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…b931backed Yes | 59c | 828.25$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 74c | 826.67$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 52c | 753.04$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 68c | 750$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 10c | 716.27$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked Yes | 56c | 715.1$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 37c | 712.76$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.69 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed No | 51c | 702.12$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed No | 61c | 688.16$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e1…031fbacked Yes | 23c | 671.82$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…1d80backed No | 56c | 663$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +170.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Yes | 32c | 656.48$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.86 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d4…0a2fbacked Yes | 68c | 600$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…5507backed Yes | 63c | 599.47$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…ac45backed Yes | 51c | 598.66$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…48f7backed Yes | 58c | 561.04$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed Yes | 65c | 554.11$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 46c | 542$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.88 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -6.5wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 41c | 537.05$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd771…489fbacked No | 52c | 526.96$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 51c | 516.52$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.76 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 54c | 514.97$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.41 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 42c | 509.26$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.12 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked No | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +359.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed No | 64c | 496.18$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 56c | 471.57$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.47 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…350bbacked Yes | 73c | 463.62$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 8c | 455.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee5…cb8cbacked Yes | 52c | 427.41$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…1268backed Yes | 55c | 426.53$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e2…c2ccbacked Yes | 39c | 412.96$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…83abbacked No | 60c | 407.54$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1de…06b4backed Yes | 42c | 386.23$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…e177backed Yes | 24c | 373$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d1…a374backed Yes | 56c | 355.76$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 48c | 330.35$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.78 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 39c | 327.87$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +693.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0c…df3cbacked No | 70c | 324.5$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +178.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 55c | 323.43$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.64 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 49c | 318.53$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.08 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed Yes | 10c | 312.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9a…81d5backed No | 70c | 304.42$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…41a3backed No | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…0b6dbacked No | 55c | 290.81$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…5afabacked Yes | 10c | 285.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 54c | 282.83$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.72 | 309 | 18.1%56 W · 253 L | -29.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed No | 37c | 282.56$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +238.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 62c | 272.64$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.14 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…a5aebacked Yes | 39c | 259.74$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 65c | 257.68$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…834abacked No | 55c | 256.94$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed No | 49c | 256.46$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 62c | 254.13$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed No | 42c | 250$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 246.67$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bf…e6dbbacked No | 59c | 245.96$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…07d9backed No | 50c | 245$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…c35bbacked Yes | 11c | 232.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?this page
- Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Yes won
- Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 1.0%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.